The New York Yankees are 46-38 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Cleveland Guardians who are 43-41 on the road this season. The Yankees have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Yankees starter Gerrit Cole is forecasted to have a better game than Guardians starter Tanner Bibee. Gerrit Cole has a 67% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Tanner Bibee has a 52% chance of a QS. If Gerrit Cole has a quality start the Yankees has a 74% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.2 and he has a 45% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Yankees win 65%. In Tanner Bibee quality starts the Guardians win 56%. He has a 25% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 56% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the New York Yankees is Aaron Judge who averaged 2.49 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 44% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Yankees have a 73% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Cleveland Guardians is Jose Ramirez who averaged 1.9 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 29% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Guardians have a 57% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Cleveland Guardians
| Cleveland Guardians | RECORD | New York Yankees | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 43-41, 51% -34 | Record at Home | 46-38, 55% -1117 | Cleveland Guardians |
| VS New York Yankees | 2-5, 29% -256 | VS Cleveland Guardians | 5-2, 71% 113 | New York Yankees |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 55-51, 52% 130 | vs Team .500 or Better | 62-39, 61% 983 | New York Yankees |
| Record As Road Underdog | 24-25, 49% 239 | Record As Home Favorite | 45-35, 56% -923 | Cleveland Guardians |
| When Tanner Bibee Starts | 23-9, 72% 996 | When Gerrit Cole Starts | 14-7, 67% 218 | Cleveland Guardians |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: New York Yankees
| Cleveland Guardians | RECORD | New York Yankees | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 2-4, 33% -225 | Record at Home | 5-5, 50% -213 | New York Yankees |
| VS New York Yankees | 0-1, 0% -100 | VS Cleveland Guardians | 1-0, 100% 62 | New York Yankees |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 5-7, 42% -274 | vs Team .500 or Better | 3-1, 75% 132 | New York Yankees |
| Record As Road Underdog | 1-2, 33% -105 | Record As Home Favorite | 5-5, 50% -213 | Cleveland Guardians |
| When Tanner Bibee Starts | 4-0, 100% 291 | When Gerrit Cole Starts | 4-0, 100% 227 | Cleveland Guardians |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Cleveland Guardians | RECORD | New York Yankees | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 30-49, 38% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 44-37, 54% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 2-4, 33% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-5, 50% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 41-38, 52% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 37-43, 46% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Tanner Bibee STARTS | 12-16, 43% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Gerrit Cole STARTS | 10-11, 48% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Cleveland Guardians Road Games: 40-44, 48% -1127 New York Yankees Home Games: 46-38, 55% -46 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Cleveland Guardians Road Games: 4-2, 67% +70 New York Yankees Home Games: 4-6, 40% -274
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Cleveland Guardians Road Games: 43-41, 51% -845 New York Yankees Home Games: 44-40, 52% -1462 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Cleveland Guardians Road Games: 3-3, 50% -50 New York Yankees Home Games: 5-5, 50% -213
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Cleveland Guardians Road Games: 43-32, 57% + 780 New York Yankees Home Games: 36-40, 47% -800 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Cleveland Guardians Road Games: 3-3, 50% -30 New York Yankees Home Games: 5-4, 56% + 60
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