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Game Details

MLB
Minnesota Twins
0
Cleveland Guardians
0

Accuscore Probability

-0.5
0.5

Over/Under

N/A

Accuscore Probability

1
26
-0.5
under
0.5
over
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Minnesota Twins Road Games: 39-29, 57% + 710 Cleveland Guardians Home Games: 26-36, 42% -1360
OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Minnesota Twins Road Games: 8-3, 73% + 470 Cleveland Guardians Home Games: 5-5, 50% -50
Money Line
MIN  52.4%
Side Value
MIN  7.2%
52.4%
47.6%
Game Projection
  • Minnesota Twins
    3.6 Points
  • Cleveland Guardians
    3.4 Points
Big Win
  • MIN
    15.5%
  • CLE
    12.4%
Close Win
  • MIN
    28.0%
  • CLE
    27.9%

Game Prediction

MLB: Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians
The Cleveland Guardians are 43-25 at home this season and the Minnesota Twins are 37-37 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Guardians starter Matthew Boyd is forecasted to have a better game than Twins starter Pablo Lopez. Matthew Boyd has a 51% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Pablo Lopez has a 45% chance of a QS. If Matthew Boyd has a quality start the Guardians has a 67% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.1 and he has a 26% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Guardians win 51%. In Pablo Lopez quality starts the Twins win 63%. He has a 45% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 63% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Cleveland Guardians is Steven Kwan who averaged 1.74 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 23% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Guardians have a 59% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Minnesota Twins is Matt Wallner who averaged 1.93 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 30% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Twins have a 70% chance of winning.
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Minnesota Twins

Batting AB R H RBI BB K HR
Willi Castro 4.2 0.5 0.9 0.3 0.3 1.4 0.08
Trevor Larnach 4.0 0.5 0.9 0.4 0.4 1.3 0.17
Royce Lewis 4.0 0.5 0.9 0.6 0.4 1.3 0.28
Matt Wallner 3.7 0.5 0.9 0.6 0.5 2.1 0.23
Carlos Santana 3.6 0.4 0.7 0.4 0.5 1.0 0.13
Jose Miranda 3.8 0.3 1.0 0.4 0.2 0.9 0.11
Edouard Julien 3.4 0.3 0.6 0.3 0.5 1.8 0.10
Christian Vazquez 3.6 0.3 0.8 0.3 0.2 1.0 0.08
Austin Martin 3.4 0.3 0.7 0.2 0.3 0.9 0.02

Pitching IP R H ER BB K HR W L
Pablo Lopez 5.8 2.3 5.2 2.3 1.4 7.1 0.87 0.46 0.40
Relievers 2.4 1.0 2.2 1.0 0.8 3.3 0.33 0.06 0.08

Batting

Pitching

Cleveland Guardians

Batting AB R H RBI BB K HR
Steven Kwan 4.0 0.5 1.2 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.10
Lane Thomas 3.9 0.4 0.8 0.3 0.3 1.6 0.08
Jose Ramirez 3.9 0.5 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.8 0.22
David Fry 3.6 0.4 0.9 0.4 0.4 1.3 0.14
Josh Naylor 3.6 0.4 0.8 0.5 0.3 1.0 0.17
Jhonkensy Noel 3.6 0.5 0.9 0.7 0.2 1.9 0.35
Andres Gimenez 3.5 0.2 0.9 0.2 0.1 0.9 0.05
Tyler Freeman 3.3 0.3 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.8 0.07
Austin Hedges 3.3 0.2 0.5 0.2 0.1 1.6 0.04

Pitching IP R H ER BB K HR W L
Matthew Boyd 5.9 2.5 5.1 2.5 2.3 7.3 0.88 0.39 0.45
Relievers 2.7 1.0 2.3 1.0 0.9 4.4 0.32 0.09 0.07

Batting

Pitching

Trends

  • Minnesota Twins
  • Cleveland Guardians
  • Minnesota Twins
  • Cleveland Guardians
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Cleveland Guardians
Minnesota Twins RECORD Cleveland Guardians RECORD UNITS EDGE
Record on the Road 37-37, 50% -688 Record at Home 43-25, 63% 718 Cleveland Guardians
VS Cleveland Guardians 2-7, 22% -542 VS Minnesota Twins 7-2, 78% 522 Cleveland Guardians
vs Team .500 or Better 37-51, 42% -1867 vs Team .500 or Better 48-43, 53% 312 Cleveland Guardians
Record as Road Favorite 23-17, 58% -90 Record as Home Underdog 7-6, 54% 94 Cleveland Guardians
When Pablo Lopez Starts 18-12, 60% -25 When Matthew Boyd Starts 5-1, 83% 357 Cleveland Guardians
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Cleveland Guardians
Minnesota Twins RECORD Cleveland Guardians RECORD UNITS EDGE
Record on the Road 4-8, 33% -418 Record at Home 5-5, 50% -134 Cleveland Guardians
VS Cleveland Guardians 0-0 No Games VS Minnesota Twins 0-0 No Games N/A
vs Team .500 or Better 3-11, 21% -807 vs Team Under .500 4-2, 67% 61 Cleveland Guardians
Record as Road Favorite 1-4, 20% -333 Record as Home Underdog 0-0 No Games Cleveland Guardians
When Pablo Lopez Starts 4-2, 67% 33 When Matthew Boyd Starts 4-1, 80% 283 Cleveland Guardians
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
Minnesota Twins RECORD Cleveland Guardians RECORD O-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD 37-36, 51% Over OVER-UNDER AT HOME 37-25, 60% Over OVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS 6-5, 55% Over ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS 5-5, 50% Over OVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON 43-39, 52% Over ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON 28-52, 35% Over OVER
OVER-UNDER IN Pablo Lopez STARTS 16-13, 55% Over OVER-UNDER IN Matthew Boyd STARTS 2-4, 33% Over N/A
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