September 16, 2024 2:16 PM CDT

Minnesota Twins vs Cleveland Guardians 9/16/2024

AccuScore.com Game Forecast Preview  
Save 10% off membership by using coupon code: PREVIEW

The Cleveland Guardians are 43-25 at home this season and the Minnesota Twins are 37-37 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Guardians starter Matthew Boyd is forecasted to have a better game than Twins starter Pablo Lopez. Matthew Boyd has a 51% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Pablo Lopez has a 45% chance of a QS. If Matthew Boyd has a quality start the Guardians has a 67% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.1 and he has a 26% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Guardians win 51%. In Pablo Lopez quality starts the Twins win 63%. He has a 45% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 63% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Cleveland Guardians is Steven Kwan who averaged 1.74 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 23% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Guardians have a 59% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Minnesota Twins is Matt Wallner who averaged 1.93 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 30% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Twins have a 70% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Cleveland Guardians

Minnesota TwinsRECORDCleveland GuardiansRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road37-37, 50% -688Record at Home43-25, 63% 718Cleveland Guardians
VS Cleveland Guardians2-7, 22% -542VS Minnesota Twins7-2, 78% 522Cleveland Guardians
vs Team .500 or Better37-51, 42% -1867vs Team .500 or Better48-43, 53% 312Cleveland Guardians
Record as Road Favorite23-17, 58% -90Record as Home Underdog7-6, 54% 94Cleveland Guardians
When Pablo Lopez Starts18-12, 60% -25When Matthew Boyd Starts5-1, 83% 357Cleveland Guardians

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Cleveland Guardians

Minnesota TwinsRECORDCleveland GuardiansRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road4-8, 33% -418Record at Home5-5, 50% -134Cleveland Guardians
VS Cleveland Guardians0-0 No GamesVS Minnesota Twins0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better3-11, 21% -807vs Team Under .5004-2, 67% 61Cleveland Guardians
Record as Road Favorite1-4, 20% -333Record as Home Underdog0-0 No GamesCleveland Guardians
When Pablo Lopez Starts4-2, 67% 33When Matthew Boyd Starts4-1, 80% 283Cleveland Guardians

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Minnesota TwinsRECORDCleveland GuardiansRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD37-36, 51% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME37-25, 60% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS6-5, 55% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-5, 50% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON43-39, 52% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON28-52, 35% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Pablo Lopez STARTS16-13, 55% OverOVER-UNDER IN Matthew Boyd STARTS2-4, 33% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Minnesota Twins Road Games: 30-44, 41% -2559 Cleveland Guardians Home Games: 38-30, 56% +117 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Minnesota Twins Road Games: 3-9, 25% -672 Cleveland Guardians Home Games: 7-3, 70% +304

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Minnesota Twins Road Games: 38-36, 51% -770 Cleveland Guardians Home Games: 39-29, 57% -73 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Minnesota Twins Road Games: 5-7, 42% -275 Cleveland Guardians Home Games: 5-5, 50% -134

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Minnesota Twins Road Games: 39-29, 57% + 710 Cleveland Guardians Home Games: 26-36, 42% -1360 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Minnesota Twins Road Games: 8-3, 73% + 470 Cleveland Guardians Home Games: 5-5, 50% -50

Click here to see AccuScore's pick for this game

Save 10% off membership by using coupon code: PREVIEW
Joomla SEF URLs by Artio