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Game Details

MLB
San Diego Padres
0
Pittsburgh Pirates
0

Accuscore Probability

-0.5
0.5

Over/Under

N/A

Accuscore Probability

 
 
-0.5
under
0.5
over
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 24-26, 48% -460 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 24-22, 52% -20
OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 4-5, 44% -150 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 4-5, 44% -150
Money Line
PIT  57.8%
Side Value
PIT  1.2%
42.2%
57.8%
Game Projection
  • San Diego Padres
    4.1 Points
  • Pittsburgh Pirates
    4.9 Points
Big Win
  • SD
    15.3%
  • PIT
    23.7%
Close Win
  • SD
    19.8%
  • PIT
    25.0%

Game Prediction

MLB: San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
The Pittsburgh Pirates are 27-28 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the San Diego Padres who are 30-23 on the road this season. The Pirates have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Pirates starter Luis Ortiz is forecasted to have a better game than Padres starter Randy Vasquez. Luis Ortiz has a 29% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Randy Vasquez has a 18% chance of a QS. If Luis Ortiz has a quality start the Pirates has a 80% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3 and he has a 26% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Pirates win 68%. In Randy Vasquez quality starts the Padres win 70%. He has a 31% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 70% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Pittsburgh Pirates is Luis Ortiz who averaged 3.07 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 68% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Pirates have a 70% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the San Diego Padres is Randy Vasquez who averaged 3.22 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 70% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Padres have a 52% chance of winning.
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San Diego Padres

Batting AB R H RBI BB K HR
Luis Arraez 4.6 0.4 1.3 0.5 0.2 0.4 0.03
Fernando Tatis 4.3 0.5 1.0 0.6 0.4 1.4 0.16
Jurickson Profar 4.0 0.5 1.1 0.5 0.5 0.9 0.13
Jake Cronenworth 4.1 0.4 0.9 0.5 0.4 1.2 0.11
Ben Gamel 3.8 0.4 0.9 0.3 0.5 1.5 0.06
David Peralta 3.9 0.4 0.9 0.4 0.3 1.4 0.07
Jackson Merrill 4.0 0.5 1.0 0.5 0.2 1.1 0.12
Ha-Seong Kim 3.6 0.5 0.8 0.3 0.5 0.9 0.07
Randy Vasquez 3.8 0.5 2.6 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.00

Pitching IP R H ER BB K HR W L
Randy Vasquez 4.7 3.2 7.5 3.1 1.1 4.5 0.68 0.35 0.47
Relievers 3.2 1.7 3.8 1.6 1.1 4.2 0.40 0.07 0.11

Batting

Pitching

Pittsburgh Pirates

Batting AB R H RBI BB K HR
Andrew McCutchen 4.2 0.6 1.1 0.7 0.4 1.2 0.19
Bryan Reynolds 4.2 0.6 1.3 0.8 0.3 1.1 0.20
Connor Joe 4.0 0.5 1.1 0.5 0.4 1.0 0.10
Oneil Cruz 4.1 0.5 1.1 0.7 0.2 1.6 0.20
Ke'Bryan Hayes 4.0 0.4 1.1 0.4 0.2 0.9 0.05
Nick Gonzales 3.9 0.5 1.1 0.5 0.2 1.0 0.09
Rowdy Tellez 3.7 0.6 1.0 0.5 0.3 0.9 0.19
Yasmani Grandal 3.7 0.5 0.8 0.3 0.2 0.8 0.08
Luis Ortiz 3.7 0.7 2.6 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.00

Pitching IP R H ER BB K HR W L
Luis Ortiz 5.1 2.6 6.8 2.5 1.7 5.0 0.44 0.49 0.31
Relievers 3.2 1.5 3.6 1.5 1.4 4.1 0.30 0.09 0.11

Batting

Pitching

Trends

  • San Diego Padres
  • Pittsburgh Pirates
  • San Diego Padres
  • Pittsburgh Pirates
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: San Diego Padres
San Diego Padres RECORD Pittsburgh Pirates RECORD UNITS EDGE
Record on the Road 30-23, 57% 854 Record at Home 27-28, 49% -250 San Diego Padres
VS Pittsburgh Pirates 0-0 No Games VS San Diego Padres 0-0 No Games N/A
vs Team .500 or Better 34-35, 49% 78 vs Team .500 or Better 31-38, 45% -433 San Diego Padres
Record As Road Underdog 20-12, 62% 1199 Record As Home Favorite 13-16, 45% -639 San Diego Padres
When Randy Vasquez Starts 5-9, 36% -419 When Luis Ortiz Starts 3-3, 50% 16 Pittsburgh Pirates
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: San Diego Padres
San Diego Padres RECORD Pittsburgh Pirates RECORD UNITS EDGE
Record on the Road 7-2, 78% 500 Record at Home 5-4, 56% 100 San Diego Padres
VS Pittsburgh Pirates 0-0 No Games VS San Diego Padres 0-0 No Games N/A
vs Team .500 or Better 2-1, 67% 91 vs Team .500 or Better 4-5, 44% -88 San Diego Padres
Record As Road Underdog 5-2, 71% 352 Record As Home Favorite 2-2, 50% -41 San Diego Padres
When Randy Vasquez Starts 1-4, 20% -295 When Luis Ortiz Starts 2-2, 50% 0 Pittsburgh Pirates
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
San Diego Padres RECORD Pittsburgh Pirates RECORD O-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD 25-28, 47% Over OVER-UNDER AT HOME 27-28, 49% Over UNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS 4-5, 44% Over ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS 3-6, 33% Over UNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON 36-39, 48% Over ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON 44-33, 57% Over UNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Randy Vasquez STARTS 8-6, 57% Over OVER-UNDER IN Luis Ortiz STARTS 1-5, 17% Over N/A
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