August 08, 2024 7:43 AM CDT

San Diego Padres vs Pittsburgh Pirates 8/8/2024

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The Pittsburgh Pirates are 27-28 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the San Diego Padres who are 30-23 on the road this season. The Pirates have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Pirates starter Luis Ortiz is forecasted to have a better game than Padres starter Randy Vasquez. Luis Ortiz has a 29% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Randy Vasquez has a 18% chance of a QS. If Luis Ortiz has a quality start the Pirates has a 80% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3 and he has a 26% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Pirates win 68%. In Randy Vasquez quality starts the Padres win 70%. He has a 31% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 70% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Pittsburgh Pirates is Luis Ortiz who averaged 3.07 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 68% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Pirates have a 70% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the San Diego Padres is Randy Vasquez who averaged 3.22 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 70% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Padres have a 52% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: San Diego Padres

San Diego PadresRECORDPittsburgh PiratesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road30-23, 57% 854Record at Home27-28, 49% -250San Diego Padres
VS Pittsburgh Pirates0-0 No GamesVS San Diego Padres0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better34-35, 49% 78vs Team .500 or Better31-38, 45% -433San Diego Padres
Record As Road Underdog20-12, 62% 1199Record As Home Favorite13-16, 45% -639San Diego Padres
When Randy Vasquez Starts5-9, 36% -419When Luis Ortiz Starts3-3, 50% 16Pittsburgh Pirates

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: San Diego Padres

San Diego PadresRECORDPittsburgh PiratesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road7-2, 78% 500Record at Home5-4, 56% 100San Diego Padres
VS Pittsburgh Pirates0-0 No GamesVS San Diego Padres0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better2-1, 67% 91vs Team .500 or Better4-5, 44% -88San Diego Padres
Record As Road Underdog5-2, 71% 352Record As Home Favorite2-2, 50% -41San Diego Padres
When Randy Vasquez Starts1-4, 20% -295When Luis Ortiz Starts2-2, 50% 0Pittsburgh Pirates

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

San Diego PadresRECORDPittsburgh PiratesRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD25-28, 47% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME27-28, 49% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-5, 44% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-6, 33% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON36-39, 48% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON44-33, 57% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Randy Vasquez STARTS8-6, 57% OverOVER-UNDER IN Luis Ortiz STARTS1-5, 17% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 22-31, 42% -923 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 28-27, 51% +343 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 3-6, 33% -318 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 5-4, 56% +180

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 23-30, 43% -1170 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 22-33, 40% -1596 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 4-5, 44% -212 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 3-6, 33% -367

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 24-26, 48% -460 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 24-22, 52% -20 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 4-5, 44% -150 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 4-5, 44% -150

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