The Pittsburgh Pirates are 27-28 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the San Diego Padres who are 30-23 on the road this season. The Pirates have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Pirates starter Luis Ortiz is forecasted to have a better game than Padres starter Randy Vasquez. Luis Ortiz has a 29% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Randy Vasquez has a 18% chance of a QS. If Luis Ortiz has a quality start the Pirates has a 80% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3 and he has a 26% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Pirates win 68%. In Randy Vasquez quality starts the Padres win 70%. He has a 31% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 70% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Pittsburgh Pirates is Luis Ortiz who averaged 3.07 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 68% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Pirates have a 70% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the San Diego Padres is Randy Vasquez who averaged 3.22 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 70% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Padres have a 52% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: San Diego Padres
| San Diego Padres | RECORD | Pittsburgh Pirates | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 30-23, 57% 854 | Record at Home | 27-28, 49% -250 | San Diego Padres |
| VS Pittsburgh Pirates | 0-0 No Games | VS San Diego Padres | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 34-35, 49% 78 | vs Team .500 or Better | 31-38, 45% -433 | San Diego Padres |
| Record As Road Underdog | 20-12, 62% 1199 | Record As Home Favorite | 13-16, 45% -639 | San Diego Padres |
| When Randy Vasquez Starts | 5-9, 36% -419 | When Luis Ortiz Starts | 3-3, 50% 16 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: San Diego Padres
| San Diego Padres | RECORD | Pittsburgh Pirates | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 7-2, 78% 500 | Record at Home | 5-4, 56% 100 | San Diego Padres |
| VS Pittsburgh Pirates | 0-0 No Games | VS San Diego Padres | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 2-1, 67% 91 | vs Team .500 or Better | 4-5, 44% -88 | San Diego Padres |
| Record As Road Underdog | 5-2, 71% 352 | Record As Home Favorite | 2-2, 50% -41 | San Diego Padres |
| When Randy Vasquez Starts | 1-4, 20% -295 | When Luis Ortiz Starts | 2-2, 50% 0 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| San Diego Padres | RECORD | Pittsburgh Pirates | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 25-28, 47% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 27-28, 49% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-5, 44% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 3-6, 33% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 36-39, 48% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 44-33, 57% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Randy Vasquez STARTS | 8-6, 57% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Luis Ortiz STARTS | 1-5, 17% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 22-31, 42% -923 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 28-27, 51% +343 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 3-6, 33% -318 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 5-4, 56% +180
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 23-30, 43% -1170 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 22-33, 40% -1596 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 4-5, 44% -212 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 3-6, 33% -367
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 24-26, 48% -460 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 24-22, 52% -20 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 4-5, 44% -150 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 4-5, 44% -150
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