Accuscore: The Global Leader in Sports Forecasting - Profitable betting since 2004.

Game Details

MLB
Philadelphia Phillies
0
Arizona Diamondbacks
0

Accuscore Probability

-0.5
0.5

Over/Under

N/A

Accuscore Probability

 
 
-0.5
under
0.5
over
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 29-21, 58% + 590 Arizona Diamondbacks Home Games: 17-27, 39% -1270
OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 3-5, 38% -250 Arizona Diamondbacks Home Games: 2-6, 25% -460
Money Line
ARI  58.6%
Side Value
ARI  3.8%
41.4%
58.6%
Game Projection
  • Philadelphia Phillies
    4.9 Points
  • Arizona Diamondbacks
    5.5 Points
Big Win
  • PHI
    18.4%
  • ARI
    25.9%
Close Win
  • PHI
    16.5%
  • ARI
    25.2%

Game Prediction

MLB: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
The Arizona Diamondbacks are 31-25 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Philadelphia Phillies who are 28-24 on the road this season. The Diamondbacks have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Diamondbacks starter Jordan Montgomery is forecasted to have a better game than Phillies starter Kolby Allard. Jordan Montgomery has a 23% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Kolby Allard has a 12% chance of a QS. If Jordan Montgomery has a quality start the Diamondbacks has a 80% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.1 and he has a 29% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Diamondbacks win 67%. In Kolby Allard quality starts the Phillies win 74%. He has a 31% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 74% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Arizona Diamondbacks is Jordan Montgomery who averaged 3.2 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 68% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Diamondbacks have a 70% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Philadelphia Phillies is Kolby Allard who averaged 3.1 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 66% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Phillies have a 53% chance of winning.
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Philadelphia Phillies

Batting AB R H RBI BB K HR
Kyle Schwarber 4.1 0.6 0.9 0.7 0.7 1.6 0.23
Trea Turner 4.5 0.7 1.5 0.8 0.2 1.1 0.19
Bryce Harper 4.1 0.6 1.1 0.8 0.5 1.1 0.24
Alec Bohm 4.3 0.5 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.8 0.11
Nick Castellanos 4.2 0.4 1.0 0.5 0.2 1.2 0.11
Bryson Stott 3.9 0.4 0.9 0.3 0.4 0.9 0.08
Whit Merrifield 3.9 0.5 0.9 0.4 0.3 0.7 0.08
Garrett Stubbs 3.7 0.5 0.7 0.3 0.4 1.4 0.05
Kolby Allard 3.8 0.7 2.6 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.00

Pitching IP R H ER BB K HR W L
Kolby Allard 4.3 3.6 7.2 3.5 1.7 6.0 0.86 0.33 0.48
Relievers 3.6 1.8 4.0 1.8 1.5 5.2 0.44 0.08 0.10

Batting

Pitching

Arizona Diamondbacks

Batting AB R H RBI BB K HR
Corbin Carroll 4.3 0.6 0.9 0.6 0.5 1.4 0.08
Ketel Marte 4.2 0.7 1.3 0.9 0.4 1.2 0.23
Joc Pederson 4.1 0.7 1.2 0.8 0.5 1.7 0.28
Christian Walker 4.0 0.6 1.1 0.8 0.4 1.5 0.28
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. 4.2 0.5 1.2 0.5 0.2 1.2 0.13
Jake McCarthy 3.9 0.6 1.1 0.4 0.3 1.2 0.07
Eugenio Suarez 3.7 0.6 0.9 0.5 0.4 1.8 0.17
Gabriel Moreno 3.6 0.5 0.9 0.4 0.5 0.9 0.07
Jordan Montgomery 3.8 0.7 2.5 0.6 0.1 0.3 0.00

Pitching IP R H ER BB K HR W L
Jordan Montgomery 4.9 2.9 6.8 2.9 1.6 5.0 0.66 0.48 0.32
Relievers 3.5 1.8 4.0 1.8 1.3 4.0 0.45 0.10 0.09

Batting

Pitching

Trends

  • Philadelphia Phillies
  • Arizona Diamondbacks
  • Philadelphia Phillies
  • Arizona Diamondbacks
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Philadelphia Phillies
Philadelphia Phillies RECORD Arizona Diamondbacks RECORD UNITS EDGE
Record on the Road 28-24, 54% -262 Record at Home 31-25, 55% -369 Philadelphia Phillies
VS Arizona Diamondbacks 2-1, 67% -8 VS Philadelphia Phillies 1-2, 33% -80 Philadelphia Phillies
vs Team .500 or Better 37-28, 57% -72 vs Team .500 or Better 32-35, 48% -81 Philadelphia Phillies
Record as Road Favorite 22-17, 56% -210 Record as Home Underdog 5-8, 38% -275 Philadelphia Phillies
When Kolby Allard Starts 0-1, 0% -100 When Jordan Montgomery Starts 11-8, 58% 48 Arizona Diamondbacks
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Arizona Diamondbacks
Philadelphia Phillies RECORD Arizona Diamondbacks RECORD UNITS EDGE
Record on the Road 3-6, 33% -379 Record at Home 9-3, 75% 367 Arizona Diamondbacks
VS Arizona Diamondbacks 0-0 No Games VS Philadelphia Phillies 0-0 No Games N/A
vs Team .500 or Better 4-11, 27% -831 vs Team Under .500 7-2, 78% 353 Arizona Diamondbacks
Record as Road Favorite 3-4, 43% -179 Record as Home Underdog 2-1, 67% 128 Arizona Diamondbacks
When Kolby Allard Starts 0-1, 0% -100 When Jordan Montgomery Starts 2-1, 67% 48 Arizona Diamondbacks
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
Philadelphia Phillies RECORD Arizona Diamondbacks RECORD O-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD 25-26, 49% Over OVER-UNDER AT HOME 33-22, 60% Over OVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS 5-4, 56% Over ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS 9-2, 82% Over OVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON 42-43, 49% Over ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON 35-48, 42% Over OVER
OVER-UNDER IN Kolby Allard STARTS 0-1, 0% Over OVER-UNDER IN Jordan Montgomery STARTS 11-8, 58% Over N/A
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