The Arizona Diamondbacks are 31-25 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Philadelphia Phillies who are 28-24 on the road this season. The Diamondbacks have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Diamondbacks starter Jordan Montgomery is forecasted to have a better game than Phillies starter Kolby Allard. Jordan Montgomery has a 23% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Kolby Allard has a 12% chance of a QS. If Jordan Montgomery has a quality start the Diamondbacks has a 80% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.1 and he has a 29% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Diamondbacks win 67%. In Kolby Allard quality starts the Phillies win 74%. He has a 31% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 74% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Arizona Diamondbacks is Jordan Montgomery who averaged 3.2 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 68% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Diamondbacks have a 70% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Philadelphia Phillies is Kolby Allard who averaged 3.1 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 66% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Phillies have a 53% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Philadelphia Phillies
| Philadelphia Phillies | RECORD | Arizona Diamondbacks | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 28-24, 54% -262 | Record at Home | 31-25, 55% -369 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| VS Arizona Diamondbacks | 2-1, 67% -8 | VS Philadelphia Phillies | 1-2, 33% -80 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 37-28, 57% -72 | vs Team .500 or Better | 32-35, 48% -81 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| Record as Road Favorite | 22-17, 56% -210 | Record as Home Underdog | 5-8, 38% -275 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| When Kolby Allard Starts | 0-1, 0% -100 | When Jordan Montgomery Starts | 11-8, 58% 48 | Arizona Diamondbacks |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Arizona Diamondbacks
| Philadelphia Phillies | RECORD | Arizona Diamondbacks | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 3-6, 33% -379 | Record at Home | 9-3, 75% 367 | Arizona Diamondbacks |
| VS Arizona Diamondbacks | 0-0 No Games | VS Philadelphia Phillies | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 4-11, 27% -831 | vs Team Under .500 | 7-2, 78% 353 | Arizona Diamondbacks |
| Record as Road Favorite | 3-4, 43% -179 | Record as Home Underdog | 2-1, 67% 128 | Arizona Diamondbacks |
| When Kolby Allard Starts | 0-1, 0% -100 | When Jordan Montgomery Starts | 2-1, 67% 48 | Arizona Diamondbacks |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Philadelphia Phillies | RECORD | Arizona Diamondbacks | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 25-26, 49% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 33-22, 60% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-4, 56% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 9-2, 82% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 42-43, 49% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 35-48, 42% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Kolby Allard STARTS | 0-1, 0% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Jordan Montgomery STARTS | 11-8, 58% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 24-28, 46% -954 Arizona Diamondbacks Home Games: 25-31, 45% -1061 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 4-5, 44% -130 Arizona Diamondbacks Home Games: 7-5, 58% +36
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 28-24, 54% -229 Arizona Diamondbacks Home Games: 33-23, 59% -78 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 4-5, 44% -105 Arizona Diamondbacks Home Games: 8-4, 67% +156
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 29-21, 58% + 590 Arizona Diamondbacks Home Games: 17-27, 39% -1270 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 3-5, 38% -250 Arizona Diamondbacks Home Games: 2-6, 25% -460
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