MLB: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Atlanta Braves
The Atlanta Braves are 30-23 at home this season and the Milwaukee Brewers are 31-28 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Braves starter Charlie Morton is forecasted to have a better game than Brewers starter Frankie Montas. Charlie Morton has a 30% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Frankie Montas has a 22% chance of a QS. If Charlie Morton has a quality start the Braves has a 74% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.1 and he has a 24% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Braves win 60%. In Frankie Montas quality starts the Brewers win 72%. He has a 36% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 72% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Atlanta Braves is Charlie Morton who averaged 3.03 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 66% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Braves have a 64% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Milwaukee Brewers is Frankie Montas who averaged 3.35 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 72% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Brewers have a 57% chance of winning.
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