MLB
Milwaukee Brewers
0
Atlanta Braves
0

Accuscore Probability

-0.5
0.5

Over/Under

N/A

Accuscore Probability

0
3
-0.5
under
0.5
over
Money Line
ATL  53.0%
Side Value
MIL  10.8%
47.0%
53.0%
Game Projection
  • Milwaukee Brewers
    4.5 Points
  • Atlanta Braves
    4.6 Points
Big Win
  • MIL
    18.6%
  • ATL
    20.9%
Close Win
  • MIL
    21.4%
  • ATL
    24.4%

Game Prediction

MLB: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Atlanta Braves
The Atlanta Braves are 30-23 at home this season and the Milwaukee Brewers are 31-28 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Braves starter Charlie Morton is forecasted to have a better game than Brewers starter Frankie Montas. Charlie Morton has a 30% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Frankie Montas has a 22% chance of a QS. If Charlie Morton has a quality start the Braves has a 74% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.1 and he has a 24% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Braves win 60%. In Frankie Montas quality starts the Brewers win 72%. He has a 36% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 72% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Atlanta Braves is Charlie Morton who averaged 3.03 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 66% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Braves have a 64% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Milwaukee Brewers is Frankie Montas who averaged 3.35 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 72% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Brewers have a 57% chance of winning.
View More

Milwaukee Brewers

Batting AB R H RBI BB K HR
Brice Turang 4.4 0.5 1.0 0.5 0.4 1.3 0.07
William Contreras 4.3 0.5 1.1 0.6 0.4 1.5 0.14
Christian Yelich 4.0 0.5 1.1 0.5 0.6 1.5 0.13
Willy Adames 4.0 0.5 0.9 0.6 0.5 1.6 0.16
Rhys Hoskins 4.0 0.5 0.8 0.6 0.4 1.8 0.21
Sal Frelick 3.9 0.4 0.9 0.3 0.4 1.1 0.02
Joey Ortiz 3.6 0.5 0.7 0.4 0.6 1.1 0.09
Jake Bauers 3.6 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.5 2.0 0.10
Frankie Montas 3.9 0.6 2.7 0.6 0.1 0.3 0.00

Pitching IP R H ER BB K HR W L
Frankie Montas 4.8 2.9 6.5 2.8 1.6 6.3 0.73 0.40 0.46
Relievers 3.2 1.6 3.7 1.6 1.1 4.6 0.47 0.07 0.07

Batting

Pitching

Atlanta Braves

Batting AB R H RBI BB K HR
Ozzie Albies 4.3 0.5 1.1 0.6 0.3 1.0 0.10
Austin Riley 4.1 0.6 1.1 0.7 0.4 1.5 0.20
Marcell Ozuna 3.9 0.6 1.1 0.7 0.4 1.4 0.27
Matt Olson 3.9 0.5 0.9 0.6 0.4 1.5 0.17
Travis d'Arnaud 3.9 0.4 1.1 0.5 0.2 1.2 0.17
Adam Duvall 3.8 0.4 0.7 0.4 0.3 1.6 0.14
Orlando Arcia 3.8 0.5 0.8 0.3 0.2 1.2 0.08
Brian Anderson 3.5 0.5 0.9 0.3 0.4 1.3 0.08
Charlie Morton 3.7 0.6 2.5 0.4 0.1 0.3 0.00

Pitching IP R H ER BB K HR W L
Charlie Morton 5.2 3.0 6.6 2.9 2.4 7.4 0.60 0.43 0.38
Relievers 3.2 1.4 3.2 1.4 1.3 4.9 0.32 0.10 0.09

Batting

Pitching

Trends

  • Milwaukee Brewers
  • Atlanta Braves
  • Milwaukee Brewers
  • Atlanta Braves
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee Brewers RECORD Atlanta Braves RECORD UNITS EDGE
Record on the Road 31-28, 53% 319 Record at Home 30-23, 57% -705 Milwaukee Brewers
VS Atlanta Braves 1-2, 33% -121 VS Milwaukee Brewers 2-1, 67% 71 Atlanta Braves
vs Team .500 or Better 32-29, 52% 239 vs Team .500 or Better 37-34, 52% -897 Milwaukee Brewers
Record As Road Underdog 19-14, 58% 806 Record As Home Favorite 30-23, 57% -705 Milwaukee Brewers
When Frankie Montas Starts 7-13, 35% -591 When Charlie Morton Starts 8-11, 42% -647 Milwaukee Brewers
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee Brewers RECORD Atlanta Braves RECORD UNITS EDGE
Record on the Road 5-3, 62% 236 Record at Home 2-6, 25% -510 Milwaukee Brewers
VS Atlanta Braves 1-2, 33% -121 VS Milwaukee Brewers 2-1, 67% 71 Atlanta Braves
vs Team Under .500 4-8, 33% -521 vs Team Under .500 4-5, 44% -239 Atlanta Braves
Record As Road Underdog 4-0, 100% 451 Record As Home Favorite 2-6, 25% -510 Milwaukee Brewers
When Frankie Montas Starts 2-1, 67% 100 When Charlie Morton Starts 1-2, 33% -150 Milwaukee Brewers
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
Milwaukee Brewers RECORD Atlanta Braves RECORD O-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD 27-31, 47% Over OVER-UNDER AT HOME 18-35, 34% Over UNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS 3-5, 38% Over ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS 2-6, 25% Over UNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON 33-46, 42% Over ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON 48-30, 62% Over UNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Frankie Montas STARTS 10-9, 53% Over OVER-UNDER IN Charlie Morton STARTS 9-10, 47% Over N/A
Joomla SEF URLs by Artio