The Atlanta Braves are 30-23 at home this season and the Milwaukee Brewers are 31-28 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Braves starter Charlie Morton is forecasted to have a better game than Brewers starter Frankie Montas. Charlie Morton has a 30% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Frankie Montas has a 22% chance of a QS. If Charlie Morton has a quality start the Braves has a 74% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.1 and he has a 24% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Braves win 60%. In Frankie Montas quality starts the Brewers win 72%. He has a 36% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 72% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Atlanta Braves is Charlie Morton who averaged 3.03 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 66% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Braves have a 64% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Milwaukee Brewers is Frankie Montas who averaged 3.35 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 72% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Brewers have a 57% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Milwaukee Brewers
| Milwaukee Brewers | RECORD | Atlanta Braves | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 31-28, 53% 319 | Record at Home | 30-23, 57% -705 | Milwaukee Brewers |
| VS Atlanta Braves | 1-2, 33% -121 | VS Milwaukee Brewers | 2-1, 67% 71 | Atlanta Braves |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 32-29, 52% 239 | vs Team .500 or Better | 37-34, 52% -897 | Milwaukee Brewers |
| Record As Road Underdog | 19-14, 58% 806 | Record As Home Favorite | 30-23, 57% -705 | Milwaukee Brewers |
| When Frankie Montas Starts | 7-13, 35% -591 | When Charlie Morton Starts | 8-11, 42% -647 | Milwaukee Brewers |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Milwaukee Brewers
| Milwaukee Brewers | RECORD | Atlanta Braves | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 5-3, 62% 236 | Record at Home | 2-6, 25% -510 | Milwaukee Brewers |
| VS Atlanta Braves | 1-2, 33% -121 | VS Milwaukee Brewers | 2-1, 67% 71 | Atlanta Braves |
| vs Team Under .500 | 4-8, 33% -521 | vs Team Under .500 | 4-5, 44% -239 | Atlanta Braves |
| Record As Road Underdog | 4-0, 100% 451 | Record As Home Favorite | 2-6, 25% -510 | Milwaukee Brewers |
| When Frankie Montas Starts | 2-1, 67% 100 | When Charlie Morton Starts | 1-2, 33% -150 | Milwaukee Brewers |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Milwaukee Brewers | RECORD | Atlanta Braves | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 27-31, 47% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 18-35, 34% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 3-5, 38% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 2-6, 25% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 33-46, 42% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 48-30, 62% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Frankie Montas STARTS | 10-9, 53% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Charlie Morton STARTS | 9-10, 47% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 27-32, 46% -1048 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 29-24, 55% +666 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 2-6, 25% -387 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 6-2, 75% +695
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 27-32, 46% -1144 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 31-22, 58% -396 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 0-8, 0% -800 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 4-4, 50% -100
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 26-30, 46% -700 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 29-14, 67% + 1360 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 3-5, 38% -250 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 7-0, 100% + 700
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