MLB
Cleveland Guardians
0
Detroit Tigers
0

Accuscore Probability

-15
15
-0.5
0.5

Over/Under

N/A

Accuscore Probability

0
19
-0.5
under
0.5
over
Money Line
CLE  65.0%
Side Value
CLE  21.6%
65.0%
35.0%
Game Projection
  • Cleveland Guardians
    4.5 Points
  • Detroit Tigers
    3.2 Points
Big Win
  • CLE
    24.8%
  • DET
    8.0%
Close Win
  • CLE
    30.6%
  • DET
    22.1%

Game Prediction

MLB: Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers
The Cleveland Guardians are 26-22 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Detroit Tigers who are 20-22 at home. The Guardians have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Guardians starter Ben Lively is forecasted to have a better game than Tigers starter Kenta Maeda. Ben Lively has a 58% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Kenta Maeda has a 37% chance of a QS. If Ben Lively has a quality start the Guardians has a 79% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.1 and he has a 30% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Guardians win 65%. In Kenta Maeda quality starts the Tigers win 59%. He has a 10% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 59% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Detroit Tigers is Riley Greene who averaged 1.96 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 30% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Tigers have a 45% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Cleveland Guardians is Steven Kwan who averaged 2.74 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 51% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Guardians have a 76% chance of winning.
View More

Cleveland Guardians

Batting AB R H RBI BB K HR
Steven Kwan 4.4 0.7 1.8 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.10
Tyler Freeman 4.3 0.5 0.9 0.5 0.4 0.9 0.11
Jose Ramirez 4.1 0.7 1.3 0.7 0.5 0.6 0.19
Josh Naylor 4.0 0.6 1.0 0.8 0.4 0.9 0.29
David Fry 3.7 0.6 1.2 0.7 0.7 0.9 0.24
Andres Gimenez 4.1 0.4 1.2 0.5 0.2 0.8 0.10
Gabriel Arias 4.0 0.3 0.8 0.4 0.2 1.6 0.06
Johnathan Rodriguez 3.1 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.9 1.4 0.00
Brayan Rocchio 3.4 0.4 0.7 0.3 0.5 0.9 0.04

Pitching IP R H ER BB K HR W L
Ben Lively 6.2 2.4 5.9 2.4 2.1 8.6 0.66 0.58 0.32
Relievers 2.1 0.8 1.9 0.7 0.7 3.5 0.20 0.07 0.03

Batting

Pitching

Detroit Tigers

Batting AB R H RBI BB K HR
Matt Vierling 4.2 0.5 1.1 0.4 0.2 1.2 0.14
Riley Greene 3.8 0.5 1.1 0.4 0.5 1.5 0.17
Wenceel Perez 3.9 0.3 1.0 0.3 0.3 1.3 0.06
Mark Canha 3.7 0.4 1.0 0.4 0.5 1.1 0.09
Colt Keith 3.8 0.3 0.9 0.4 0.3 1.0 0.05
Gio Urshela 3.7 0.3 1.2 0.4 0.2 0.8 0.07
Justyn-Henry Malloy 3.3 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.5 2.2 0.13
Jake Rogers 3.5 0.3 0.7 0.4 0.2 1.6 0.11
Zach McKinstry 3.3 0.3 0.6 0.2 0.3 1.4 0.04

Pitching IP R H ER BB K HR W L
Kenta Maeda 5.4 3.1 6.2 3.0 2.8 5.1 0.82 0.27 0.59
Relievers 2.9 1.4 3.1 1.4 1.5 3.4 0.32 0.08 0.06

Batting

Pitching

Trends

  • Cleveland Guardians
  • Detroit Tigers
  • Cleveland Guardians
  • Detroit Tigers
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Cleveland Guardians
Cleveland Guardians RECORD Detroit Tigers RECORD UNITS EDGE
Record on the Road 26-22, 54% 344 Record at Home 20-22, 48% -588 Cleveland Guardians
VS Detroit Tigers 2-2, 50% -47 VS Cleveland Guardians 2-2, 50% 34 Detroit Tigers
vs Team Under .500 35-18, 66% 726 vs Team .500 or Better 17-28, 38% -1132 Cleveland Guardians
Record as Road Favorite 10-12, 45% -477 Record as Home Underdog 6-9, 40% -256 Detroit Tigers
When Ben Lively Starts 9-5, 64% 176 When Kenta Maeda Starts 6-11, 35% -518 Cleveland Guardians
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Detroit Tigers
Cleveland Guardians RECORD Detroit Tigers RECORD UNITS EDGE
Record on the Road 6-8, 43% -194 Record at Home 6-5, 55% -37 Detroit Tigers
VS Detroit Tigers 0-1, 0% -100 VS Cleveland Guardians 1-0, 100% 126 Detroit Tigers
vs Team Under .500 11-9, 55% -27 vs Team .500 or Better 6-12, 33% -557 Cleveland Guardians
Record as Road Favorite 1-4, 20% -319 Record as Home Underdog 2-2, 50% 32 Detroit Tigers
When Ben Lively Starts 2-2, 50% -86 When Kenta Maeda Starts 0-5, 0% -500 Cleveland Guardians
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
Cleveland Guardians RECORD Detroit Tigers RECORD O-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD 20-27, 43% Over OVER-UNDER AT HOME 22-18, 55% Over UNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS 5-9, 36% Over ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS 6-5, 55% Over UNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON 41-38, 52% Over ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON 43-35, 55% Over OVER
OVER-UNDER IN Ben Lively STARTS 4-8, 33% Over OVER-UNDER IN Kenta Maeda STARTS 11-6, 65% Over N/A
Joomla SEF URLs by Artio