The Cleveland Guardians are 26-22 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Detroit Tigers who are 20-22 at home. The Guardians have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Guardians starter Ben Lively is forecasted to have a better game than Tigers starter Kenta Maeda. Ben Lively has a 58% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Kenta Maeda has a 37% chance of a QS. If Ben Lively has a quality start the Guardians has a 79% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.1 and he has a 30% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Guardians win 65%. In Kenta Maeda quality starts the Tigers win 59%. He has a 10% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 59% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Detroit Tigers is Riley Greene who averaged 1.96 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 30% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Tigers have a 45% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Cleveland Guardians is Steven Kwan who averaged 2.74 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 51% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Guardians have a 76% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Cleveland Guardians
| Cleveland Guardians | RECORD | Detroit Tigers | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 26-22, 54% 344 | Record at Home | 20-22, 48% -588 | Cleveland Guardians |
| VS Detroit Tigers | 2-2, 50% -47 | VS Cleveland Guardians | 2-2, 50% 34 | Detroit Tigers |
| vs Team Under .500 | 35-18, 66% 726 | vs Team .500 or Better | 17-28, 38% -1132 | Cleveland Guardians |
| Record as Road Favorite | 10-12, 45% -477 | Record as Home Underdog | 6-9, 40% -256 | Detroit Tigers |
| When Ben Lively Starts | 9-5, 64% 176 | When Kenta Maeda Starts | 6-11, 35% -518 | Cleveland Guardians |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Detroit Tigers
| Cleveland Guardians | RECORD | Detroit Tigers | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 6-8, 43% -194 | Record at Home | 6-5, 55% -37 | Detroit Tigers |
| VS Detroit Tigers | 0-1, 0% -100 | VS Cleveland Guardians | 1-0, 100% 126 | Detroit Tigers |
| vs Team Under .500 | 11-9, 55% -27 | vs Team .500 or Better | 6-12, 33% -557 | Cleveland Guardians |
| Record as Road Favorite | 1-4, 20% -319 | Record as Home Underdog | 2-2, 50% 32 | Detroit Tigers |
| When Ben Lively Starts | 2-2, 50% -86 | When Kenta Maeda Starts | 0-5, 0% -500 | Cleveland Guardians |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Cleveland Guardians | RECORD | Detroit Tigers | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 20-27, 43% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 22-18, 55% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-9, 36% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 6-5, 55% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 41-38, 52% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 43-35, 55% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Ben Lively STARTS | 4-8, 33% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Kenta Maeda STARTS | 11-6, 65% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Cleveland Guardians Road Games: 22-26, 46% -608 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 23-19, 55% +351 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Cleveland Guardians Road Games: 7-7, 50% -276 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 4-7, 36% -344
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Cleveland Guardians Road Games: 24-24, 50% -476 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 22-20, 52% -365 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Cleveland Guardians Road Games: 9-5, 64% +243 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 7-4, 64% +47
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Cleveland Guardians Road Games: 26-18, 59% + 620 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 21-19, 52% + 10 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Cleveland Guardians Road Games: 9-4, 69% + 460 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 5-6, 45% -160
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