The Baltimore Orioles are 4-0 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Kansas City Royals who are 0-1 on the road this season. The Orioles have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Orioles starter Cole Irvin is forecasted to have a better game than Royals starter Alec Marsh. Cole Irvin has a 60% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Alec Marsh has a 37% chance of a QS. If Cole Irvin has a quality start the Orioles has a 80% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 6.2 and he has a 55% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Orioles win 70%. In Alec Marsh quality starts the Royals win 57%. He has a 31% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 57% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Baltimore Orioles is Adley Rutschman who averaged 2.21 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 37% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Orioles have a 76% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Kansas City Royals is Vinnie Pasquantino who averaged 1.81 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 27% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Royals have a 51% chance of winning.