The Baltimore Orioles are 4-0 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Kansas City Royals who are 0-1 on the road this season. The Orioles have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Orioles starter Cole Irvin is forecasted to have a better game than Royals starter Alec Marsh. Cole Irvin has a 60% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Alec Marsh has a 37% chance of a QS. If Cole Irvin has a quality start the Orioles has a 80% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 6.2 and he has a 55% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Orioles win 70%. In Alec Marsh quality starts the Royals win 57%. He has a 31% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 57% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Baltimore Orioles is Adley Rutschman who averaged 2.21 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 37% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Orioles have a 76% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Kansas City Royals is Vinnie Pasquantino who averaged 1.81 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 27% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Royals have a 51% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Baltimore Orioles
| Kansas City Royals | RECORD | Baltimore Orioles | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 0-1, 0% -100 | Record at Home | 4-0, 100% 228 | Baltimore Orioles |
| VS Baltimore Orioles | 0-1, 0% -100 | VS Kansas City Royals | 1-0, 100% 64 | Baltimore Orioles |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 1-3, 25% -195 | vs Team Under .500 | 4-0, 100% 228 | Baltimore Orioles |
| Record As Road Underdog | 0-1, 0% -100 | Record As Home Favorite | 4-0, 100% 228 | Baltimore Orioles |
| When Alec Marsh Starts | 0-0 No Games | When Cole Irvin Starts | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Baltimore Orioles
| Kansas City Royals | RECORD | Baltimore Orioles | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 23-58, 28% -1981 | Record at Home | 49-34, 59% 239 | Baltimore Orioles |
| VS Baltimore Orioles | 1-5, 17% -366 | VS Kansas City Royals | 5-1, 83% 196 | Baltimore Orioles |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 25-60, 29% -1804 | vs Team Under .500 | 50-22, 69% 1182 | Baltimore Orioles |
| Record As Road Underdog | 22-57, 28% -1949 | Record As Home Favorite | 36-24, 60% -166 | Baltimore Orioles |
| When Alec Marsh Starts | 0-7, 0% -700 | When Cole Irvin Starts | 8-2, 80% 1779 | Baltimore Orioles |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Kansas City Royals | RECORD | Baltimore Orioles | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 1-0, 100% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 3-1, 75% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 1-0, 100% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 3-1, 75% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 37-40, 48% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 38-39, 49% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Alec Marsh STARTS | 0-0 No Games | OVER-UNDER IN Cole Irvin STARTS | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 0-1, 0% -17 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 0-4, 0% -400 SIDE VALUE (Last Season) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 49-32, 60% +1176 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 52-31, 63% +1072
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 1-0, 100% +64 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 4-0, 100% +228 MONEY LINE (Last Season) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 59-22, 73% +955 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 50-33, 60% +444
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 0-1, 0% -110 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 1-3, 25% -230 OVER-UNDER RECORD (LAST SEASON) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 41-29, 59% + 910 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 36-34, 51% -140
Click here to see AccuScore's pick for this game
