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Game Details

MLB
Los Angeles Angels
0
Miami Marlins
0

Accuscore Probability

-0.5
0.5

Over/Under

9

Accuscore Probability

 
 
8.5
under
9.5
over
Money Line
MIA  60.4%
Side Value
MIA  10.7%
39.6%
60.4%
Game Projection
  • Los Angeles Angels
    3.7 Points
  • Miami Marlins
    4.5 Points
Big Win
  • LAA
    13.1%
  • MIA
    24.1%
Close Win
  • LAA
    19.8%
  • MIA
    28.1%

Game Prediction

MLB: Los Angeles Angels vs. Miami Marlins
The Miami Marlins are 0-5 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Los Angeles Angels who are 1-3 on the road this season. The Marlins have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Marlins starter Jesus Luzardo is forecasted to have a better game than Angels starter Tyler Anderson. Jesus Luzardo has a 48% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Tyler Anderson has a 30% chance of a QS. If Jesus Luzardo has a quality start the Marlins has a 75% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.3 and he has a 34% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Marlins win 66%. In Tyler Anderson quality starts the Angels win 58%. He has a 45% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 58% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Miami Marlins is Jesus Luzardo who averaged 3.21 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 72% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Marlins have a 72% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Los Angeles Angels is Mike Trout who averaged 2.27 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 37% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Angels have a 54% chance of winning.
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Los Angeles Angels

Batting AB R H RBI BB K HR
Mickey Moniak 4.5 0.5 1.1 0.4 0.2 2.5 0.17
Nolan Schanuel 3.9 0.5 1.1 0.2 0.7 1.2 0.03
Mike Trout 4.0 0.6 1.1 0.7 0.5 2.0 0.27
Anthony Rendon 3.8 0.4 0.9 0.4 0.5 1.2 0.08
Taylor Ward 3.9 0.5 1.1 0.5 0.4 1.5 0.15
Brandon Drury 3.9 0.4 1.1 0.6 0.3 1.6 0.19
Miguel Sano 3.5 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.5 2.2 0.07
Logan O'Hoppe 3.6 0.4 1.0 0.6 0.3 1.5 0.24
Tyler Anderson 3.7 0.2 0.5 0.1 0.1 2.4 0.00

Pitching IP R H ER BB K HR W L
Tyler Anderson 5.2 3.1 8.1 3.0 1.2 6.1 0.56 0.32 0.52
Relievers 2.7 1.5 3.7 1.5 0.9 4.2 0.30 0.07 0.08

Batting

Pitching

Miami Marlins

Batting AB R H RBI BB K HR
Luis Arraez 4.4 0.6 1.6 0.6 0.3 0.4 0.07
Josh Bell 4.1 0.5 1.2 0.7 0.5 1.1 0.12
Jake Burger 4.2 0.5 1.2 0.7 0.2 1.8 0.21
Bryan De La Cruz 4.1 0.5 1.1 0.5 0.2 1.4 0.12
Jazz Chisholm Jr. 4.0 0.5 1.1 0.6 0.3 1.7 0.21
Tim Anderson 4.0 0.4 1.3 0.4 0.1 1.1 0.04
Avisail Garcia 3.9 0.4 0.9 0.4 0.1 1.6 0.08
Jonah Bride 3.6 0.4 0.7 0.2 0.3 1.0 0.01
Jesus Luzardo 3.7 0.7 2.7 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.00

Pitching IP R H ER BB K HR W L
Jesus Luzardo 5.9 2.3 5.4 2.2 2.1 11.4 0.77 0.52 0.29
Relievers 2.7 1.4 2.9 1.4 1.3 4.6 0.43 0.08 0.11

Batting

Pitching

Trends

  • Los Angeles Angels
  • Miami Marlins
  • Los Angeles Angels
  • Miami Marlins
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Los Angeles Angels
Los Angeles Angels RECORD Miami Marlins RECORD UNITS EDGE
Record on the Road 1-3, 25% -202 Record at Home 0-5, 0% -500 Los Angeles Angels
VS Miami Marlins 1-0, 100% 98 VS Los Angeles Angels 0-1, 0% -100 Los Angeles Angels
vs Team Under .500 1-0, 100% 98 vs Team .500 or Better 0-4, 0% -400 Los Angeles Angels
Record As Road Underdog 1-3, 25% -202 Record As Home Favorite 0-5, 0% -500 Los Angeles Angels
When Tyler Anderson Starts 0-0 No Games When Jesus Luzardo Starts 0-1, 0% -100 Los Angeles Angels
LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Miami Marlins
Los Angeles Angels RECORD Miami Marlins RECORD UNITS EDGE
Record on the Road 35-46, 43% -628 Record at Home 45-36, 56% 242 Miami Marlins
VS Miami Marlins 0-3, 0% -300 VS Los Angeles Angels 3-0, 100% 402 Miami Marlins
vs Team .500 or Better 34-64, 35% -2478 vs Team Under .500 46-28, 62% 879 Miami Marlins
Record As Road Underdog 23-34, 40% -273 Record As Home Favorite 27-21, 56% -336 Los Angeles Angels
When Tyler Anderson Starts 12-14, 46% -188 When Jesus Luzardo Starts 20-14, 59% 480 Miami Marlins
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
Los Angeles Angels RECORD Miami Marlins RECORD O-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD 3-1, 75% Over OVER-UNDER AT HOME 5-0, 100% Over OVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS 3-1, 75% Over ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS 5-0, 100% Over OVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON 45-34, 57% Over ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON 39-40, 49% Over OVER
OVER-UNDER IN Tyler Anderson STARTS 0-0 No Games OVER-UNDER IN Jesus Luzardo STARTS 1-0, 100% Over N/A
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