The Miami Marlins are 0-5 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Los Angeles Angels who are 1-3 on the road this season. The Marlins have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Marlins starter Jesus Luzardo is forecasted to have a better game than Angels starter Tyler Anderson. Jesus Luzardo has a 48% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Tyler Anderson has a 30% chance of a QS. If Jesus Luzardo has a quality start the Marlins has a 75% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.3 and he has a 34% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Marlins win 66%. In Tyler Anderson quality starts the Angels win 58%. He has a 45% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 58% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Miami Marlins is Jesus Luzardo who averaged 3.21 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 72% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Marlins have a 72% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Los Angeles Angels is Mike Trout who averaged 2.27 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 37% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Angels have a 54% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Los Angeles Angels
| Los Angeles Angels | RECORD | Miami Marlins | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 1-3, 25% -202 | Record at Home | 0-5, 0% -500 | Los Angeles Angels |
| VS Miami Marlins | 1-0, 100% 98 | VS Los Angeles Angels | 0-1, 0% -100 | Los Angeles Angels |
| vs Team Under .500 | 1-0, 100% 98 | vs Team .500 or Better | 0-4, 0% -400 | Los Angeles Angels |
| Record As Road Underdog | 1-3, 25% -202 | Record As Home Favorite | 0-5, 0% -500 | Los Angeles Angels |
| When Tyler Anderson Starts | 0-0 No Games | When Jesus Luzardo Starts | 0-1, 0% -100 | Los Angeles Angels |
LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Miami Marlins
| Los Angeles Angels | RECORD | Miami Marlins | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 35-46, 43% -628 | Record at Home | 45-36, 56% 242 | Miami Marlins |
| VS Miami Marlins | 0-3, 0% -300 | VS Los Angeles Angels | 3-0, 100% 402 | Miami Marlins |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 34-64, 35% -2478 | vs Team Under .500 | 46-28, 62% 879 | Miami Marlins |
| Record As Road Underdog | 23-34, 40% -273 | Record As Home Favorite | 27-21, 56% -336 | Los Angeles Angels |
| When Tyler Anderson Starts | 12-14, 46% -188 | When Jesus Luzardo Starts | 20-14, 59% 480 | Miami Marlins |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Los Angeles Angels | RECORD | Miami Marlins | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 3-1, 75% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 5-0, 100% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 3-1, 75% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-0, 100% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 45-34, 57% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 39-40, 49% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Tyler Anderson STARTS | 0-0 No Games | OVER-UNDER IN Jesus Luzardo STARTS | 1-0, 100% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Los Angeles Angels Road Games: 1-3, 25% -300 Miami Marlins Home Games: 2-3, 40% -84 SIDE VALUE (Last Season) - Los Angeles Angels Road Games: 38-43, 47% -952 Miami Marlins Home Games: 49-32, 60% +1583
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Los Angeles Angels Road Games: 4-0, 100% +262 Miami Marlins Home Games: 1-4, 20% -302 MONEY LINE (Last Season) - Los Angeles Angels Road Games: 45-36, 56% -531 Miami Marlins Home Games: 49-32, 60% +718
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Los Angeles Angels Road Games: 2-2, 50% -20 Miami Marlins Home Games: 4-1, 80% + 290 OVER-UNDER RECORD (LAST SEASON) - Los Angeles Angels Road Games: 36-33, 52% -30 Miami Marlins Home Games: 39-29, 57% + 710
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