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Game Details

NCAAF
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
++4
Troy Trojans
-4

Accuscore Probability

-4.5
-3.5

Over/Under

58.5

Accuscore Probability

 
 
58
under
59
over
Money Line
TROY  49.9%
Side Value
WKY  11.44%
49.9%
49.9%
Game Projection
  • Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
    26.2 Points
  • Troy Trojans
    25.9 Points
Big Win
  • WKY
    28.7%
  • TROY
    27.7%
Close Win
  • WKY
    10.3%
  • TROY
    11.4%

Game Prediction

NCAAF: Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs. Troy Trojans
AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Western Kentucky winning 50% of simulations, and Troy 50% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Western Kentucky commits fewer turnovers in 36% of simulations and they go on to win 61% when they take care of the ball. Troy wins 63% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Austin Reed is averaging 287 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (38% chance) then he helps his team win 70%. Kimani Vidal is averaging 115 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (33% chance) then he helps his team win 66%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is TROY -3.5 --- Over/Under line is 56.5
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Western Kentucky Hilltoppers

PASSING COM YDS TD INT
Austin Reed 25.3 286.6 2.0 0.8

RUSHING ATT YDS AVG TD
Davion 20.1 88.4 4.4 0.6
Austin Reed 3.0 9.8 3.2 0.2
L.T. Sanders 1.3 5.5 4.3 0.0

RECEIVING REC YDS AVG TD
Dalvin Smith 7.5 86.2 11.5 0.7
Malachi Corley 5.8 64.9 11.2 0.4
Davion 3.3 38.7 11.7 0.2
River Helms 3.0 35.2 11.7 0.2

DEFENSE SACK INT FUM TO
WKY 0.7 1.0 0.0 1

PASSING

RUSHING

RECEIVING

DEFENSE

Troy Trojans

PASSING COM YDS TD INT
Gunnar Watson 18.6 222.3 1.2 0.9

RUSHING ATT YDS AVG TD
Kimani Vidal 25.4 114.6 4.5 0.9
Gunnar Watson 3.8 13.2 3.4 0.2
Asa Martin 2.4 13.1 5.5 0.1

RECEIVING REC YDS AVG TD
Jabre Barber 4.1 51.0 12.4 0.3
Clayton Ollendieck 4.1 50.6 12.3 0.3
Landon Parker 4.2 50.1 11.9 0.3
Deshon Stoudemire 4.1 47.5 11.6 0.2

DEFENSE SACK INT FUM TO
TROY 0.8 0.9 0.0 0.9

PASSING

RUSHING

RECEIVING

DEFENSE

Trends

  • Western Kentucky
  • Troy
  • Western Kentucky
  • Troy
'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.
Western Kentucky ATS RECORD Troy ATS RECORD ATS EDGE
All Games 1/1/2000 All Games 0-2-0 Western Kentucky
Road & Neutral Field 0-1-0 Home Games 0-1-0 No Edge
When Underdog 0-1-0 When Favored 0-1-0 No Edge
Non-Conference Opp 1/1/2000 Non-Conference Opp 0-1-0 Western Kentucky
Opp Under .500 0-0-0 Opp .500+ Record 0-2-0 No Edge
LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.
Western Kentucky ATS RECORD Troy ATS RECORD ATS EDGE
All Games 8/4/2000 All Games 8/4/2000 No Edge
Road & Neutral Field 5/2/2000 Home Games 4/3/2000 Western Kentucky
When Underdog 2/1/2000 When Favored 4/4/2000 Western Kentucky
Non-Conference Opp 6/4/2000 Non-Conference Opp 3/3/2000 Western Kentucky
Opp .500+ Record 4-0-0 Opp .500+ Record 5-0-0 No Edge
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
Western Kentucky O-U-P RECORD Troy O-U-P RECORD O-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P) 1/1/2000 All Totals (O-U-P) 1/1/2000 No Edge
On Road 1-0-0 At Home 0-1-0 No Edge
All Totals Last Season 4/7/2000 All Totals Last Season 4/7/2000 UNDER
On Road Last Season 2/4/2000 At Home Last Season 2/4/2000 UNDER
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