AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Western Kentucky winning 50% of simulations, and Troy 50% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Western Kentucky commits fewer turnovers in 36% of simulations and they go on to win 61% when they take care of the ball. Troy wins 63% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Austin Reed is averaging 287 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (38% chance) then he helps his team win 70%. Kimani Vidal is averaging 115 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (33% chance) then he helps his team win 66%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is TROY -3.5 --- Over/Under line is 56.5
'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.
| Western Kentucky | ATS RECORD | Troy | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|
| All Games | 1/1/2000 | All Games | 0-2-0 | Western Kentucky |
| Road & Neutral Field | 0-1-0 | Home Games | 0-1-0 | No Edge |
| When Underdog | 0-1-0 | When Favored | 0-1-0 | No Edge |
| Non-Conference Opp | 1/1/2000 | Non-Conference Opp | 0-1-0 | Western Kentucky |
| Opp Under .500 | 0-0-0 | Opp .500+ Record | 0-2-0 | No Edge |
LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.
| Western Kentucky | ATS RECORD | Troy | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|
| All Games | 8/4/2000 | All Games | 8/4/2000 | No Edge |
| Road & Neutral Field | 5/2/2000 | Home Games | 4/3/2000 | Western Kentucky |
| When Underdog | 2/1/2000 | When Favored | 4/4/2000 | Western Kentucky |
| Non-Conference Opp | 6/4/2000 | Non-Conference Opp | 3/3/2000 | Western Kentucky |
| Opp .500+ Record | 4-0-0 | Opp .500+ Record | 5-0-0 | No Edge |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Western Kentucky | O-U-P RECORD | Troy | O-U-P RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| All Totals (O-U-P) | 1/1/2000 | All Totals (O-U-P) | 1/1/2000 | No Edge |
| On Road | 1-0-0 | At Home | 0-1-0 | No Edge |
| All Totals Last Season | 4/7/2000 | All Totals Last Season | 4/7/2000 | UNDER |
| On Road Last Season | 2/4/2000 | At Home Last Season | 2/4/2000 | UNDER |
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