NCAAF: Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. South Carolina Gamecocks
AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Mississippi State winning 45% of simulations, and South Carolina 55% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Mississippi State commits fewer turnovers in 16% of simulations and they go on to win 64% when they take care of the ball. South Carolina wins 65% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Will Rogers is averaging 267 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (30% chance) then he helps his team win 68%. Juju McDowell is averaging 65 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (37% chance) then he helps his team win 66%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is SC -6 --- Over/Under line is 50
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