September 19, 2023 6:55 AM CDT

Mississippi State vs South Carolina 9/23/2023

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Mississippi State winning 45% of simulations, and South Carolina 55% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Mississippi State commits fewer turnovers in 16% of simulations and they go on to win 64% when they take care of the ball. South Carolina wins 65% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Will Rogers is averaging 267 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (30% chance) then he helps his team win 68%. Juju McDowell is averaging 65 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (37% chance) then he helps his team win 66%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is SC -6 --- Over/Under line is 50

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Mississippi StateATS RECORDSouth CarolinaATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games0-2-0All Games1/1/2000South Carolina
Road & Neutral Field0-0-0Home Games0-1-0No Edge
When Underdog0-1-0When Favored0-0-0No Edge
Conference Opp0-1-0Conference Opp1-0-0South Carolina
Opp Under .5000-1-0Opp .500+ Record1-0-0South Carolina

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Mississippi StateATS RECORDSouth CarolinaATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games7/5/2000All Games6/5/2001Mississippi State
Road & Neutral Field3/3/2000Home Games4/3/2001South Carolina
When Underdog2/2/2000When Favored2/2/2000No Edge
Conference Opp2/5/2000Conference Opp3/4/2001South Carolina
Opp .500+ Record5/3/2000Opp .500+ Record2/4/2001Mississippi State

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Mississippi StateO-U-P RECORDSouth CarolinaO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)1/1/2000All Totals (O-U-P)0-2-0UNDER
On Road0-0-0At Home0-1-0UNDER
All Totals Last Season6/6/2000All Totals Last Season8/4/2000OVER
On Road Last Season0-6-0At Home Last Season5/2/2000UNDER

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