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Game Details

NCAAF
New Mexico State Aggies
++3
Hawaii Warriors
-3

Accuscore Probability

-3.5
-2.5

Over/Under

55.5

Accuscore Probability

 
 
55
under
56
over
Money Line
NMXS  54.0%
Side Value
NMXS  10.14%
54.0%
45.9%
Game Projection
  • New Mexico State Aggies
    26.9 Points
  • Hawaii Warriors
    25.6 Points
Big Win
  • NMXST
    33.1%
  • HAW
    26.1%
Close Win
  • NMXST
    8.7%
  • HAW
    8.8%

Game Prediction

NCAAF: New Mexico State Aggies vs. Hawaii Warriors
AccuScore is forecasting a close game with New Mexico State winning 54% of simulations, and Hawaii 46% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. New Mexico State commits fewer turnovers in 20% of simulations and they go on to win 70% when they take care of the ball. Hawaii wins 57% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Star Thomas is averaging 114 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (29% chance) then he helps his team win 68%. Brayden Schager is averaging 306 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (39% chance) then he helps his team win 66%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is HAW -2.5 --- Over/Under line is 57.5
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New Mexico State Aggies

PASSING COM YDS TD INT
Diego Pavia 16.7 228.5 1.7 1.3

RUSHING ATT YDS AVG TD
Star Thomas 21.1 114.3 5.4 0.7
Diego Pavia 6.9 32.4 4.7 0.1
Jamoni Jones 1.5 6.7 4.4 0.1

RECEIVING REC YDS AVG TD
Jonathan Brady 3.4 53.2 15.6 0.5
Chris Bellamy 3.4 46.7 13.7 0.3
Thomaz Whitford 3.4 44.5 13.1 0.3
Kordell David 3.3 43.2 13.1 0.3

DEFENSE SACK INT FUM TO
NMXST 0.7 0.8 0.0 0.8

PASSING

RUSHING

RECEIVING

DEFENSE

Hawaii Warriors

PASSING COM YDS TD INT
Brayden Schager 25.4 306.4 2.3 0.8

RUSHING ATT YDS AVG TD
Tylan Hines 16.0 70.8 4.4 0.7
Brayden Schager 6.2 25.0 4.1 0.3
Steven McBride 4.6 22.6 4.9 0.2

RECEIVING REC YDS AVG TD
Landon Sims 4.9 65.4 13.3 0.5
Steven McBride 4.9 60.8 12.4 0.6
Carlito Capanang 4.9 57.4 11.7 0.4
Jalen Walthall 4.9 57.1 11.7 0.4

DEFENSE SACK INT FUM TO
HAW 0.8 1.3 0.0 1.3

PASSING

RUSHING

RECEIVING

DEFENSE

Trends

  • New Mexico State
  • Hawaii
  • New Mexico State
  • Hawaii
'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.
New Mexico State ATS RECORD Hawaii ATS RECORD ATS EDGE
All Games 1/2/2000 All Games 1/2/2000 No Edge
Road & Neutral Field 1/1/2000 Home Games 0-1-0 New Mexico State
When Underdog 1/1/2000 When Favored 0-0-0 No Edge
Non-Conference Opp 1/1/2000 Non-Conference Opp 1/2/2000 New Mexico State
Opp Under .500 1-0-0 Opp Under .500 0-0-0 No Edge
LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.
New Mexico State ATS RECORD Hawaii ATS RECORD ATS EDGE
All Games 9/3/2000 All Games 7/4/2000 New Mexico State
Road & Neutral Field 5/2/2000 Home Games 4/2/2000 New Mexico State
When Underdog 7/1/2000 When Favored 0-0-0 No Edge
Non-Conference Opp 6/2/2000 Non-Conference Opp 1/3/2000 New Mexico State
Opp Under .500 4/3/2000 Opp Under .500 4/2/2000 Hawaii
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
New Mexico State O-U-P RECORD Hawaii O-U-P RECORD O-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P) 1/2/2000 All Totals (O-U-P) 2/1/2000 No Edge
On Road 0-2-0 At Home 1-0-0 UNDER
All Totals Last Season 5/6/2000 All Totals Last Season 6/5/2000 No Edge
On Road Last Season 4/3/2000 At Home Last Season 3/3/2000 OVER
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