September 19, 2023 6:55 AM CDT

New Mexico State vs Hawaii 9/23/2023

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with New Mexico State winning 54% of simulations, and Hawaii 46% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. New Mexico State commits fewer turnovers in 20% of simulations and they go on to win 70% when they take care of the ball. Hawaii wins 57% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Star Thomas is averaging 114 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (29% chance) then he helps his team win 68%. Brayden Schager is averaging 306 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (39% chance) then he helps his team win 66%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is HAW -2.5 --- Over/Under line is 57.5

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

New Mexico StateATS RECORDHawaiiATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games1/2/2000All Games1/2/2000No Edge
Road & Neutral Field1/1/2000Home Games0-1-0New Mexico State
When Underdog1/1/2000When Favored0-0-0No Edge
Non-Conference Opp1/1/2000Non-Conference Opp1/2/2000New Mexico State
Opp Under .5001-0-0Opp Under .5000-0-0No Edge

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

New Mexico StateATS RECORDHawaiiATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games9/3/2000All Games7/4/2000New Mexico State
Road & Neutral Field5/2/2000Home Games4/2/2000New Mexico State
When Underdog7/1/2000When Favored0-0-0No Edge
Non-Conference Opp6/2/2000Non-Conference Opp1/3/2000New Mexico State
Opp Under .5004/3/2000Opp Under .5004/2/2000Hawaii

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

New Mexico StateO-U-P RECORDHawaiiO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)1/2/2000All Totals (O-U-P)2/1/2000No Edge
On Road0-2-0At Home1-0-0UNDER
All Totals Last Season5/6/2000All Totals Last Season6/5/2000No Edge
On Road Last Season4/3/2000At Home Last Season3/3/2000OVER

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