NCAAF: Nevada Wolfpack vs. Texas State Bobcats
Texas State is a solid favorite with a 60% chance to beat Nevada. Malik Hornsby is projected for 46 rushing yards and a 42% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 40% of simulations where Nevada wins, Brendon Lewis averages 0.99 TD passes vs 0.62 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.52 TDs to 0.84 interceptions. Sean Dollars averages 65 rushing yards and 1.11 rushing TDs when Nevada wins and 58 yards and 0.65 TDs in losses. Texas State has a 37% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 68% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is TXST -17 --- Over/Under line is 60.5
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