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Game Details

NCAAF
Nevada Wolfpack
++17
Texas State Bobcats
-17

Accuscore Probability

-17.5
-16.5

Over/Under

59

Accuscore Probability

 
 
58.5
under
59.5
over
Money Line
TXST  60.1%
Side Value
NEV  24.68%
39.7%
60.1%
Game Projection
  • Nevada Wolfpack
    25.9 Points
  • Texas State Bobcats
    30.1 Points
Big Win
  • NEV
    20.9%
  • TXST
    37.7%
Close Win
  • NEV
    9.3%
  • TXST
    11.8%

Game Prediction

NCAAF: Nevada Wolfpack vs. Texas State Bobcats
Texas State is a solid favorite with a 60% chance to beat Nevada. Malik Hornsby is projected for 46 rushing yards and a 42% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 40% of simulations where Nevada wins, Brendon Lewis averages 0.99 TD passes vs 0.62 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.52 TDs to 0.84 interceptions. Sean Dollars averages 65 rushing yards and 1.11 rushing TDs when Nevada wins and 58 yards and 0.65 TDs in losses. Texas State has a 37% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 68% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is TXST -17 --- Over/Under line is 60.5
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Nevada Wolfpack

PASSING COM YDS TD INT
Brendon Lewis 23.9 259.9 0.7 0.8

RUSHING ATT YDS AVG TD
Sean Dollars 19.4 60.5 3.1 0.8
Brendon Lewis 8.1 23.0 2.8 0.3
Dalevon Campbell 2.1 12.4 5.8 0.1

RECEIVING REC YDS AVG TD
Jamaal Bell 6.0 59.8 10.0 0.2
Dalevon Campbell 3.6 58.1 16.1 0.2
Spencer Curtis 3.7 41.8 11.3 0.1
Sean Dollars 4.6 40.0 8.7 0.1

DEFENSE SACK INT FUM TO
NEV 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.6

PASSING

RUSHING

RECEIVING

DEFENSE

Texas State Bobcats

PASSING COM YDS TD INT
Malik Hornsby 22.9 277.2 2.1 0.5

RUSHING ATT YDS AVG TD
Malik Hornsby 9.0 45.8 5.1 0.6
Calvin Hill 10.6 40.3 3.8 0.4
Lincoln Pare 10.5 40.1 3.8 0.5

RECEIVING REC YDS AVG TD
Ashtyn Hawkins 4.9 61.3 12.5 0.5
Konner Fox 3.7 45.4 12.3 0.3
Beau Corrales 3.8 43.9 11.6 0.3
Charles Brown 3.7 43.0 11.6 0.3

DEFENSE SACK INT FUM TO
TXST 0.7 0.8 0.0 0.8

PASSING

RUSHING

RECEIVING

DEFENSE

Trends

  • Nevada
  • Texas State
  • Nevada
  • Texas State
'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.
Nevada ATS RECORD Texas State ATS RECORD ATS EDGE
All Games 1/1/2000 All Games 2-0-0 Texas State
Road & Neutral Field 0-1-0 Home Games 0-0-0 No Edge
When Underdog 1/1/2000 When Favored 0-0-0 No Edge
Non-Conference Opp 1/1/2000 Non-Conference Opp 2-0-0 Texas State
Opp .500+ Record 1-0-0 Opp Under .500 1-0-0 No Edge
LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.
Nevada ATS RECORD Texas State ATS RECORD ATS EDGE
All Games 3/8/2000 All Games 4/6/2000 Texas State
Road & Neutral Field 2/4/2000 Home Games 2/2/2000 Texas State
When Underdog 2/5/2000 When Favored 1/1/2000 Texas State
Non-Conference Opp 1/2/2000 Non-Conference Opp 1/3/2000 Nevada
Opp Under .500 1/4/2000 Opp Under .500 1/3/2000 Texas State
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
Nevada O-U-P RECORD Texas State O-U-P RECORD O-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P) 1/1/2000 All Totals (O-U-P) 1/1/2000 No Edge
On Road 1-0-0 At Home 0-0-0 OVER
All Totals Last Season 4/7/2000 All Totals Last Season 4/6/2000 UNDER
On Road Last Season 2/4/2000 At Home Last Season 1/3/2000 UNDER
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