September 19, 2023 6:55 AM CDT

Nevada vs Texas State 9/23/2023

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Texas State is a solid favorite with a 60% chance to beat Nevada. Malik Hornsby is projected for 46 rushing yards and a 42% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 40% of simulations where Nevada wins, Brendon Lewis averages 0.99 TD passes vs 0.62 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.52 TDs to 0.84 interceptions. Sean Dollars averages 65 rushing yards and 1.11 rushing TDs when Nevada wins and 58 yards and 0.65 TDs in losses. Texas State has a 37% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 68% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is TXST -17 --- Over/Under line is 60.5

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

NevadaATS RECORDTexas StateATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games1/1/2000All Games2-0-0Texas State
Road & Neutral Field0-1-0Home Games0-0-0No Edge
When Underdog1/1/2000When Favored0-0-0No Edge
Non-Conference Opp1/1/2000Non-Conference Opp2-0-0Texas State
Opp .500+ Record1-0-0Opp Under .5001-0-0No Edge

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

NevadaATS RECORDTexas StateATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games3/8/2000All Games4/6/2000Texas State
Road & Neutral Field2/4/2000Home Games2/2/2000Texas State
When Underdog2/5/2000When Favored1/1/2000Texas State
Non-Conference Opp1/2/2000Non-Conference Opp1/3/2000Nevada
Opp Under .5001/4/2000Opp Under .5001/3/2000Texas State

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

NevadaO-U-P RECORDTexas StateO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)1/1/2000All Totals (O-U-P)1/1/2000No Edge
On Road1-0-0At Home0-0-0OVER
All Totals Last Season4/7/2000All Totals Last Season4/6/2000UNDER
On Road Last Season2/4/2000At Home Last Season1/3/2000UNDER

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