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Game Details

NCAAF
North Carolina State Wolfpack
0
Virginia Cavaliers
0

Accuscore Probability

-0.5
0.5

Over/Under

N/A

Accuscore Probability

 
 
-0.5
under
0.5
over
Money Line
NCST  63.9%
Side Value
NCST  63.9%
63.9%
36.0%
Game Projection
  • North Carolina State Wolfpack
    28.6 Points
  • Virginia Cavaliers
    22.9 Points
Big Win
  • NCST
    40.3%
  • VA
    17.5%
Close Win
  • NCST
    11.0%
  • VA
    9.8%

Game Prediction

NCAAF: North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Virginia Cavaliers
North Carolina State is a solid favorite with a 64% chance to beat Virginia. Jordan Houston is projected for 89 rushing yards and a 37% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 36% of simulations where Virginia wins, Tony Muskett averages 1.69 TD passes vs 1.4 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.8 TDs to 1.74 interceptions. Kobe Pace averages 45 rushing yards and 0.58 rushing TDs when Virginia wins and 37 yards and 0.28 TDs in losses. North Carolina State has a 53% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 72% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is VA +9.5 --- Over/Under line is 46.5
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North Carolina State Wolfpack

PASSING COM YDS TD INT
Brennan Armstrong 17.7 207.3 1.7 1.0

RUSHING ATT YDS AVG TD
Jordan Houston 22.3 88.6 4.0 0.5
Keyon Lesane 3.4 13.9 4.1 0.1
Brennan Armstrong 4.8 13.1 2.8 0.3

RECEIVING REC YDS AVG TD
Keyon Lesane 3.6 47.5 13.2 0.4
Porter Rooks 3.6 42.1 11.7 0.3
Terrell Timmons 3.6 41.8 11.6 0.4
Trent Pennix 3.6 39.9 11.1 0.3

DEFENSE SACK INT FUM TO
NCST 1.1 1.7 0.0 1.7

PASSING

RUSHING

RECEIVING

DEFENSE

Virginia Cavaliers

PASSING COM YDS TD INT
Tony Muskett 17.6 221.5 1.1 1.6

RUSHING ATT YDS AVG TD
Kobe Pace 10.3 40.1 3.9 0.4
Perris Jones 10.3 38.8 3.8 0.4
Mike Hollins 2.6 9.3 3.6 0.1

RECEIVING REC YDS AVG TD
Malik Washington 4.8 62.5 13.0 0.3
Malachi Fields 3.4 39.4 11.6 0.2
Grant Misch 2.4 28.8 12.0 0.1
Demick Starling 2.3 28.3 12.3 0.1

DEFENSE SACK INT FUM TO
VA 0.7 1.0 0.0 1

PASSING

RUSHING

RECEIVING

DEFENSE

Trends

  • North Carolina State
  • Virginia
  • North Carolina State
  • Virginia
'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.
North Carolina State ATS RECORD Virginia ATS RECORD ATS EDGE
All Games 0-2-0 All Games 2/1/2000 Virginia
Road & Neutral Field 0-1-0 Home Games 1-0-0 Virginia
When Favored 0-1-0 When Underdog 2/1/2000 Virginia
Conference Opp 0-0-0 Conference Opp 0-0-0 No Edge
Opp Under .500 0-0-0 Opp .500+ Record 1/1/2000 No Edge
LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.
North Carolina State ATS RECORD Virginia ATS RECORD ATS EDGE
All Games 4/8/2000 All Games 4/5/2001 Virginia
Road & Neutral Field 1/4/2000 Home Games 1/4/2000 No Edge
When Favored 1/4/2000 When Underdog 4/3/2001 Virginia
Conference Opp 2/6/2000 Conference Opp 3/3/2001 Virginia
Opp Under .500 2/2/2000 Opp .500+ Record 3/3/2000 No Edge
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
North Carolina State O-U-P RECORD Virginia O-U-P RECORD O-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P) 1/1/2000 All Totals (O-U-P) 3-0-0 OVER
On Road 0-1-0 At Home 1-0-0 No Edge
All Totals Last Season 4/8/2000 All Totals Last Season 2/6/2001 UNDER
On Road Last Season 2/3/2000 At Home Last Season 1/3/2001 UNDER
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