September 19, 2023 6:55 AM CDT

North Carolina State vs Virginia 9/22/2023 Game Forecast Preview  
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North Carolina State is a solid favorite with a 64% chance to beat Virginia. Jordan Houston is projected for 89 rushing yards and a 37% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 36% of simulations where Virginia wins, Tony Muskett averages 1.69 TD passes vs 1.4 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.8 TDs to 1.74 interceptions. Kobe Pace averages 45 rushing yards and 0.58 rushing TDs when Virginia wins and 37 yards and 0.28 TDs in losses. North Carolina State has a 53% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 72% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is VA +9.5 --- Over/Under line is 46.5

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

All Games0-2-0All Games2/1/2000Virginia
Road & Neutral Field0-1-0Home Games1-0-0Virginia
When Favored0-1-0When Underdog2/1/2000Virginia
Conference Opp0-0-0Conference Opp0-0-0No Edge
Opp Under .5000-0-0Opp .500+ Record1/1/2000No Edge

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

All Games4/8/2000All Games4/5/2001Virginia
Road & Neutral Field1/4/2000Home Games1/4/2000No Edge
When Favored1/4/2000When Underdog4/3/2001Virginia
Conference Opp2/6/2000Conference Opp3/3/2001Virginia
Opp Under .5002/2/2000Opp .500+ Record3/3/2000No Edge


North Carolina StateO-U-P RECORDVirginiaO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)1/1/2000All Totals (O-U-P)3-0-0OVER
On Road0-1-0At Home1-0-0No Edge
All Totals Last Season4/8/2000All Totals Last Season2/6/2001UNDER
On Road Last Season2/3/2000At Home Last Season1/3/2001UNDER

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