Written by Rohit Ghosh
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NFL Money Line Pick - Miami Dolphins (5-3) @ Detroit Lions (6-2)
Winners of three in a row both straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS), the Miami Dolphins head north for a matchup against the Detroit Lions. Having gone 4-1 SU in their last five, with the one loss being a nail biter against Green Bay, the Dolphins balanced roster just might have the right mix to pull off the upset this week.
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Sunday Night Football Preview: Chicago Bears @ Green Bay Packers
Coming off a much-needed bye week, the Green Bay Packers get set to host rival Chicago Bears Sunday night in a matchup many have been waiting all season for. The Packers will look to dominate at home, potentially handing Chicago its fifth loss in six games. AccuScore has the Packers as 59.4 percent favorites.
Some of the biggest variables in the simulations were the running backs on both sides. Matt Forte averages 91 rushing yards per simulated game. If he performs better than that average and has at least a 1 rushing TD - which there’s a 30 percent chance of - Chicago’s winning probability jumps up to 60 percent.
Eddie Lacy averages 83 rushing yards per simulated game. If he performs better than that average and has at least a 1 rushing TD - which there’s a 32 percent chance of - Green Bay’s winning probability jumps up to 75 percent.
