Written by Rohit Ghosh
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Peyton Manning has a pretty good track record against the Cincinnati Bengals. He's 8-0 in his career against them, having dominated them each time out. Let's see if Andy Dalton, rookie-standout Jeremy Hill and Cincinnati can reverse the trend this week.
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Our Prediction
AccuScore has the Broncos as solid 64.8 percent favorites to win. The average score after 10,000-plus simulations is 29-23.
What to Watch For
The Denver Broncos defense has been quite the force in December. They've give up 17 or fewer points in each of their last three games. At this point last season, Denver was coming off of four straight games in which they had allowed the opponent to score at least 27 points. The Bengals are projected to commit about 2 turnovers Monday night.
In addition to requiring a near-perfect game from Dalton, any chance the Bengals have at winning this game rests on how effective rookie Jeremy Hill can be. He rushed for 148 yards and 2 TDs in Week 15. Bengals RB Jeremy Hill averages 71 rushing yards and 0.59 rushing TDs in wins, and 57 yards and 0.33 TDs in losses. Hill has recorded over 150 yards from scrimmage three times in seven games, dating back to Week 9.
Betting Trends
Denver is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games.
Denver is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games on the road.
Denver is 16-5 SU in its last 21 games on the road.
Cincinnati is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 6 games.
Cincinnati is 12-4-1 ATS in its last 17 games at home.
Cincinnati is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home.
