Written by Jonathan Lee
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Tennessee Titans -1 at St. Louis Rams
This is likely to be a very close game represented by the single point spread. The Rams defense has played much better in recent weeks especially against the run. However, the offense has completely stagnated now that Kellen Clemens is the starting quarterback. The lone bright spot, running back Zac Stacy, is also very banged up. For now, AccuScore still has Stacy playing and still the Titans are winning 54 percent of the time. Tennessee wins a little more than 30 percent of the time by 10 or more points. Even on the road, the Titans should have a much easier time of scoring with their full complement of weapons available, and a mobile Jake Locker in order to help mitigate the improved Rams pass rush.
New Orleans Saints -6.5 at New York Jets
The Saints are 10 point favorites according to simulations, and cover the posted 6.5 number nearly 60 percent of the time. They win by 10 or more points in 52 percent of simulations as well. The Jets are averaging just 16 points per simulation. Given the state of the quarterback match-up, Drew Brees vs. Geno Smith even on the road, I easily see New Orleans topping 22 points which would be enough to cover the spread.