Written by Jonathan Lee

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Cleveland Browns at Kansas City Chiefs Over 38.5 Points
The projected total for this game is 43 points with the Over occurring nearly 62 percent of the time.  The Chiefs are 9.5 point favorites, and are likely to be up relatively quickly on the Browns forcing more throws from new quarterback Jason Campbell.  A lead would also allow the Chiefs to give more touches to their best weapon, Jamaal Charles, who is liable to break a long run at any time.  AccuScore has gone 6-1 projecting totals for the Chiefs this season.

Pittsburgh Steelers -1 at Oakland Raiders
Pittsburgh is projected to win nearly 69 percent of the time according to simulations.  Any win would, at worst, result in a push at -1.  The Steelers win by 6.4 points on average in simulations, 42 percent of the time by 10 points or more.  They have seemed to find their offense over the past two weeks having gone 13-28 on third downs.  Le’Veon Bell has also helped with the running game by keeping the chains moving.  The Raiders do have the advantage of coming off a bye week, but the Steelers are doing well coming off two wins and are relatively healthy.