Written by Jonathan Lee

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Atlanta Falcons -1 vs. New England Patriots
Matt Ryan’s career record at home is a staggering 33-5.  With this line, he and the Falcons need only to win outright to avoid a losing bet.  Tom Brady is still building a rapport with his young inexperienced receiver corps, and a noisy Georgia Dome isn’t the greatest place to do that.  The Falcons win 55.3% of simulations.

New York Jets at Tennessee Titans UNDER 39.5 Points
At 65.6%, the Under is the highest percentage pick on the board for Week 4.  The computer has gone 5-1 combined on totals for games involving either of these teams thus far.