Written by Jonathan Lee

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Baltimore Ravens -3.5 vs. New York Jets
The computer has Baltimore as better than a touchdown favorite (-8) in this game.  While in my opinion that line is a bit large, the Jets are just 1-4 on the road beating only the injury-plagued Falcons in Week 5.  New York lost by 40 to the Bengals on the road, beat the Saints at home the next week, and then lost by 23 to the Bills on the road even though they were coming off a bye.  The lesson here is quite simple: don’t trust the Jets and Geno Smith on the road.  The Ravens cover in nearly 60 percent of simulations.

Indianapolis Colts +1 at Arizona Cardinals
The AccuScore sim line for this game favors the Colts by 4 points on the road.  Arizona is on a three game win streak, but that has come against three of the worst teams in the league in Jacksonville, Houston, and Atlanta along with a bye week in-between.  The Colts meanwhile are 4-1 against the number in their last five road games.  I’ll believe in the Cardinals as real playoff contenders if they can win this game.