Super Bowl Prop Bets: Part 1
Below are many popular Super Bowl Prop lines. In order to make picks we translate the LINE into a LINE% with a total of 100%. We compare it to the AccuScore simulation percentage. We're doing Super Bowl props betting analysis all week long. Check back Wednesday for AccuScore's Super Bowl Wide Receivers Prop Bets
Dennis Pitta: Baltimore Ravens
This has been a breakout year for Pitta and he has gone over 44.5 yards and over 3.5 receptions in 5 of the last 6 games (excluding Week 17 when he rested most of the game). Despite the recent trends, Ed Dickson has been seeing more action (5 targets, 4 catches in the playoffs) and the Ravens are primarily mixing in rushing with big downfield passing plays. This is cutting into Pitta’s per sim performance and the unders have value.
Ed Dickson: Baltimore Ravens
Dickson did not have a catch vs the Patriots but he did have 3 catches vs the Broncos. There is some value on Dickson having 2 or more receptions.
In the NFL's divisional playoffs and championship Sunday, our computer went 10-1 against the spread and Over/Unders with one pick that pushed. AccuScore was 6-0 on its last six Totals picks, meaning it's been a perfect couple of playoffs weekends leading to the Super Bowl...Get AccuScore's Super Bowl Picks ATS and Totals!
Vernon Davis
Vernon Davis had a huge game vs the Falcons, but he has had only 1 reception in 5 of the games he has played with Kaepernick. Even though he doesn’t have a lot of receptions he has been targeted frequently. The Ravens try to stop the big play but often give up short yardage passes which could help Davis go over 3.5 receptions while being under 50.5 total receiving yards. Ray Lewis has been a tackling machine but he and the other Ravens LBs don’t have the speed to stay with Davis and one reason why a player gets a lot of tackles is because the opposing offense is getting off a lot of plays. This matchup is positive for Davis.
Delanie Walker
With Vernon Davis and RBs Frank Gore and LaMichael James predicted to go over in receptions we have slight value on the under for Walker’s stats. Walker completed the regular season with big numbers (34, 54 and 50 yards in final 3) but he has just 2 receptions for 37 yards in the two playoff games.