Written by Rohit Ghosh

Follow @rohitghosh on Twitter

New Orleans Saints vs Detroit Lions: MNF

Special: Use coupon code "champs" for 25% off membership (limited time offer): Click Here to become a member today!

The New Orleans Saints host the Detroit Lions Monday night at the Mercedes-Benz Superdome. The Saints are 3-point favorites, with the total set at 51.5.

The Lions are getting +130 odds on the money-line in Las Vegas. Saints money-line bettors are required to lay -150 odds.

The +130 odds in Vegas imply a 43.5 percent chance of winning. The Lions, however, won nearly 47 percent of simulations, indicating a bit more value on the road dog. AccuScore would have listed Detroit's money-line odds at +110.

Best Bet: With the total set at 51 or 51.5 in Vegas - depending on when and where you get it - and Vegas having it at 47, the UNDER is a nice wagering opportunity.

The total combined score goes UNDER 51 in nearly 61 percent of simulations, a two-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend. In NFC game totals, AccuScore has gone 45-26 (63.4%, +1640 units). When the simulated total has differed by 4 points or more when compared to Vegas, AccuScore has gone 36-22 (62.1%, +1180 units).

The total has gone UNDER in 6 of the Saints' last 9 games on the road, and in 4 of the Lions' last 5 games at home.

Make sure to check out AccuScore's

All of AccuScore's ATS pick on this matchup.

Fantasy Watch

Detroit QB Matthew Stafford is projected to finish with 300 yards, 2 TDs and a passer rating of 95.6. He averages 1.7 TDs and 0.5 INTs per sim. Saints QB Drew Brees is projected to finish with 308 yards, 2 TDs and a passer rating of 106.9. He averages 1.7 TDs and 0.6 INTs per sim.

Ameer Abdullah is projected to lead Detroit on the ground with 42 yards on 9 carries. He averages 0.2 TDs per sim. Calvin Johnson is projected to finish with 89 yards on 6 receptions. He averages 0.6 TDs per sim.

Tim Hightower is projected to lead New Orleans on the ground wiht 72 yards on 19 carries. He averages 0.3 TDs per sim. Willie Snead and Marques Colston are both projected to finish with about 57-to-58 yards on 4 receptions. Snead averages 0.2 TDs per sim, while Colston recorded 0.3 per.

AccuScore’s computer simulates games 10,000 times to predict their outcome. Throughout the college football season, we’ll be stacking up these forecasts against Las Vegas money-lines. When AccuScore gives a team a better chance to win than the money-line odds imply, it’s a recommended play.