Written by Rohit Ghosh
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QB performances
In simulations, Saints QB Drew Brees averages 311 passing yards per simulated game. If he has a performance with greater than 311 passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio, which there’s a 42 percent chance of, the Saints’ winning probability goes up to 72 percent.
On the other side, Bears QB Jay Cutler is averaging 318 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (33% chance) then he helps his team win 56%.
Saints Betting Trends
New Orleans is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games.
New Orleans is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games.
New Orleans is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games on the road.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 6 games on the road.
New Orleans is 2-2-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Chicago.
New Orleans is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Chicago.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans's last 6 games when playing Chicago.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 6 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Bears Betting Trends
Chicago is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games Chicago is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games.
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Chicago's last 17 games.
Chicago is 3-12-1 ATS in its last 16 games at home.
Chicago is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games at home.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 6 games at home.
Chicago is 2-5-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing New Orleans.
Chicago is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing New Orleans.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 6 games when playing New Orleans.
Chicago is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against New Orleans.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 6 games when playing at home against New Orleans.
AccuScore has expert picks against the spread and on the Over/Under for every game: Click here - NFL Expert Picks
What to Watch For
Heading into Week 14, Saints WR Kenny Still had lots of momentum. He struggled however last week, with just 3 catches for 23 yards. Keep an eye out for Stills to have a big game against a Chicago defense that has allowed nearly 33 fantasy points per game to opposing WRs over the last two weeks.
With Brandon Marshall out for the remainder of the season, Bears WR Alshon Jeffery becomes an obvious No. 1 option in the Chicago aerial attack. Jeffery has scored at least 1 TD in the past four games. He's projected to finish with 114 yards and 1 TD on 8 receptions.