Written by Rohit Ghosh
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Monday Night Football: Dolphins vs Giants
The Miami Dolphins host the New York Giants on MNF in Week 14. While both teams enter the matchup at 5-7, it's of much greater importance to the Giants to since they are tied for first place in their division. Miami is in last place in theirs.
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New York enters the matchup as 2-point favorites, with the total set at 47.
The Dolphins are getting +110 odds on the money-line in Las Vegas. Giants money-line bettors are required to lay -130 odds.
The +110 odds in Vegas imply a 47.6 percent chance of winning. AccuScore sims have similar odds set for this matchup. Miami won about 46.5 percent of AccuScore sims.
Best Bet: With Vegas listing the total at 47, and AccuScore at 42, the UNDER presents a nice wagering opportunity. The total combined score went UNDER 47 in 59.6 percent of AccuScore sims.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of the Dolphins' last 6 games, and in 5 of the Giants' last 5 games when playing Miami.
All of AccuScore's Monday Night NFL Expert Picks - Spreads & Totals
Fantasy Watch
Giants QB Eli Manning is projected to finish with 287 yards, 2 TDs, 1 INT and a passer rating of 91.8. He averages 1.5 TDs and 0.7 INTs per sim. Dolphins QB Ryan Tannehill is projected to finish with 282 yards, 2 TDs, 1 INT and a passer rating of 93.1. Tannehill averages 1.5 TDs and 0.8 INTs per sim.
Rashad Jennings is projected to lead the way on the ground for New York with 46 yards on 12 carries. He averages 0.3 TDs per sim. WR Odell Beckham Jr. averages 0.7 TDs per sim; he's projected to finish with 96 yards on 7 receptions.
Lamar Miller is projected to finish with 60 yards on 14 carries, averaging 0.4 TDs per sim. WR Jarvis Landry is projected to finish with 78 yards on 7 receptions; he averages just 0.2 TDs per sim. Keep an eye on DeVante Parker as he averages 0.4 TDs per sim, the highest average amongst the Dolphins receiving corps in sims.
AccuScore’s computer simulates games 10,000 times to predict their outcome. Throughout the college football season, we’ll be stacking up these forecasts against Las Vegas money-lines. When AccuScore gives a team a better chance to win than the money-line odds imply, it’s a recommended play.
