Written by Jon Lee

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Free Picks - Baltimore Ravens +1 at Philadelphia Eagles
The Eagles were lucky to escape Cleveland with a win last week after Michael Vick threw four interceptions. Now they get Baltimore, and will get blown out for sure if Vick repeats his horrible performance. In simulations the Ravens win outright 56 percent of the time which is all that is needed with the line at just 1.0 point. Baltimore also wins by double digits 35.6 percent of the time with the average margin being 2.5 points. The Eagles were able to really tee off against the Browns because rookie Brandon Weeden posed little threat on offense. It will be a much different story this week with Joe Flacco manning the Ravens offense combined with Ray Rice and a diverse group of receivers. The Eagles aren’t as bad as they appeared last week, and the Ravens aren’t as good as they looked either. Still, Baltimore is slightly better and I like them with the line this low.

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