Written by Jon Lee
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Analyst’s Top 3 Plays for Week 7
Free Pick: Jacksonville Jaguars +4 at Oakland Raiders
The Jags were obliterated by the Bears in their last game being outgained by more than 300 yards. So why in the world would I be taking them on the road? Well, Jacksonville has oddly played its two best games on the road this year losing in overtime to Minnesota and beating Indianapolis. Each of their three home games ended in losses by at least 17 points.
Jacksonville is a terrible team, but they are unlikely to play so poorly against the Oakland defense as it did against the tough Chicago defense. The Bears did get two interceptions returned for two touchdowns which made that game look even worse on the scoreboard. The Jags are coming off a bye, and teams tend to play much better with that off week. The Raiders are probably the better team, but I’m not sure they should be giving more than a field goal to anybody at this point.
Every week, our NFL analyst makes picks on totals and against the spread. He takes a look at the simulations, the lines, and makes a few well thought out picks. Sometimes, he disagrees with the computer, but he always explains his reasoning. This week, he’s got three picks, and two of them are only available to members. So, AccuScore Members, Log in now to see 2 more Analyst picks
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Buffalo Bills vs. Tennessee Titans OVER 46 Points
Both the Bills and Titans have poor offenses, but that can be remedied in this game because both teams have bad defenses. Buffalo has the worst rush defense in the league while Tennessee ranks 24th against the run and 29th against the pass. Matt Hasselbeck gets another start for the Titans so I think that might actually help just because he will make the correct decisions and avoid unnecessary bad plays that Jake Locker might be more susceptible to. AccuScore projects this game to go over by just a hair, but the computer is a combined 10-1 picking the totals in games involving these two teams this season.
Washington Redskins +6.5 at New York Giants
AccuScore has gone 4-0 picking the Giants against the spread so it has a good handle on the defending Super Bowl champions. The computer has probably underrated Washington this season however going 2-4 ATS in their games as Robert Griffin has outplayed all expectations of him. The Giants are coming off a gigantic win at San Francisco, and might be flying a bit high in the NFC East. The Redskins are covering the spread 55.7% of the time, and at this point I am trending towards the underdogs in most NFL games where the line is more than a field goal.
