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2015 NFC Playoff Picture

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The unbeaten Carolina Panthers already secured their playoffs berth last Sunday with a win over New Orleans Saints. Which other teams have best chances to reach postseason in NFC?

Accuscore's supercomputer has updated season futures predictions when we have four weeks left in regular season. All other teams still have at least theoretical chances from San Francisco 49ers’ 0.06% to Arizona Cardinal’s 99.9% to reach playoffs.

Right now it looks like Carolina and Arizona will have first round bye and extra time to prepare for winners from wild card games. The third spot in NFC seeding will be filled by the winner of NFC North. As Packers and Vikings are both 8-4, there is a high (over 80%) probability that the team that finishes second in this division will get a wild card spot. Packers have now an edge in the predictions, but the most probably the home field advantage in the wild card game will be decided in week 17 when these teams face each other in the Lambeau field.

The fourth seed in NFC comes from East. As Giants, Redskins, Eagles are 5-7 and Cowboys 4-8, all teams have still chances to win this division. That is the position to fight for as there won’t be any wild card spots for the losers of the divisional race. Simulations are not bought by Eagles last week’s win over Patriots as their season has been a complete roller coaster. Even though Giants haven’t been able to run the ball and generally haven’t played as well as expected during the last few games, they have best chances to win this division over Redskins. As it has been earlier this season, NFC East is the most unpredictable division in 2015 season.

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The wild card spots is in practice a three way fight. Seattle Seahawks’ form has been improved and they are in good position to take seed #5. The loser of NFC North divisional race has almost as high probability to postseason as Seattle has. The third team with any reasonable chances to the wild card spot is Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Their relatively easy schedule during the last four games will give them a chance, if some of the teams in 8-4 or 7-5 fail to perform as expected.