AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Notre Dame winning 45.0% of simulations, and Penn State 55.0% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Notre Dame commits fewer turnovers in 30.0% of simulations and they go on to win 56.0% when they take care of the ball. Penn State wins 66.0% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Riley Leonard is averaging 53.0 rushing yards per sim. if (he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (0.0% chance) then he helps his team win 0%. Nicholas Singleton is averaging 68.0 rushing yards per sim. if (he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (0.0% chance) then he helps his team win 0%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is PAST +1.5 --- Over/Under line is 44.0
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.
| Notre Dame | ATS RECORD | Penn State | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|
| All Games | 8-7-0 | All Games | 7-9-0 | No Edge |
| Road + Neutral Field | 70-00-00 | Home Games | 0-9-0 | Notre Dame |
| When Favored | 3-7-0 | When Underdog | 6-1-0 | Penn State |
| Non-Conference Opp | 8-6-0 | Non-Conference Opp | 4-6-0 | No Edge |
| Opp .500+ Record | 6-3-0 | Opp .500+ Record | 4-4-0 | No Edge |
LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.
| Notre Dame | ATS RECORD | Penn State | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|
| All Games | 9-3-0 | All Games | 8-3-0 | No Edge |
| Road + Neutral Field | 30-20-00 | Home Games | 4-2-0 | No Edge |
| When Favored | 8-3-0 | When Underdog | 0-2-0 | No Edge |
| Non-Conference Opp | 9-3-0 | Non-Conference Opp | 2-0-0 | Penn State |
| Opp .500+ Record | 4-1-0 | Opp .500+ Record | 6-2-0 | No Edge |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Notre Dame | O-U-P RECORD | Penn State | O-U-P RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| All Totals (O-U-P) | 13-2-0 | All Totals (O-U-P) | 13-3-0 | OVER |
| On Road | 6-1-0 | At Home | 7-2-0 | OVER |
| All Totals Last Season | 9-3-0 | All Totals Last Season | 7-4-0 | OVER |
| On Road Last Season | 4-1-0 | At Home Last Season | 4-2-0 | OVER |
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