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Game Details

NCAAF
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
++2.5
Penn State Nittany Lions
-2.5

Accuscore Probability

-3
-2

Over/Under

35

Accuscore Probability

 
 
34.5
under
35.5
over
Money Line
PAST  55.2%
Side Value
 
44.6%
55.2%
Game Projection
  • Notre Dame Fighting Irish
    23.3 Points
  • Penn State Nittany Lions
    25.6 Points
Big Win
  • ND
    22.1%
  • PAST
    30.9%
Close Win
  • ND
    11.4%
  • PAST
    11.9%

Game Prediction

NCAAF: Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. Penn State Nittany Lions
AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Notre Dame winning 45.0% of simulations, and Penn State 55.0% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Notre Dame commits fewer turnovers in 30.0% of simulations and they go on to win 56.0% when they take care of the ball. Penn State wins 66.0% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Riley Leonard is averaging 53.0 rushing yards per sim. if (he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (0.0% chance) then he helps his team win 0%. Nicholas Singleton is averaging 68.0 rushing yards per sim. if (he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (0.0% chance) then he helps his team win 0%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is PAST +1.5 --- Over/Under line is 44.0
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Notre Dame Fighting Irish

PASSING COM YDS TD INT
Riley Leonard 13.0 172.0 0.9 0.5

RUSHING ATT YDS AVG TD
Riley Leonard 13.0 52.8 4.1 0.6
Devyn Ford 11.0 42.0 3.8 0.4
Jeremiyah Love 5.1 22.1 4.3 0.1

RECEIVING REC YDS AVG TD
Kris Mitchell 3.9 54.8 14.1 0.3
Mitchell Evans 3.0 39.1 13.0 0.2
Deion Colzie 2.3 29.2 12.7 0.2
Beaux Collins 1.9 22.6 11.9 0.1

DEFENSE SACK INT FUM TO
ND 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.6

PASSING

RUSHING

RECEIVING

DEFENSE

Penn State Nittany Lions

PASSING COM YDS TD INT
Drew Allar 18.8 193.6 1.5 0.6

RUSHING ATT YDS AVG TD
Nicholas Singleton 18.5 68.0 3.7 0.6
Drew Allar 11.1 30.4 2.7 0.4
Kaytron Allen 4.3 18.5 4.3 0.1

RECEIVING REC YDS AVG TD
KeAndre LambertSmith 7.4 80.2 10.8 0.6
Harrison Wallace III 3.8 39.9 10.5 0.3
Dante Cephas 2.6 26.8 10.3 0.2
Nicholas Singleton 2.5 21.9 8.8 0.2

DEFENSE SACK INT FUM TO
PAST 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.5

PASSING

RUSHING

RECEIVING

DEFENSE

Trends

  • Notre Dame
  • Penn State
  • Notre Dame
  • Penn State
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.
Notre Dame ATS RECORD Penn State ATS RECORD ATS EDGE
All Games 8-7-0 All Games 7-9-0 No Edge
Road + Neutral Field 70-00-00 Home Games 0-9-0 Notre Dame
When Favored 3-7-0 When Underdog 6-1-0 Penn State
Non-Conference Opp 8-6-0 Non-Conference Opp 4-6-0 No Edge
Opp .500+ Record 6-3-0 Opp .500+ Record 4-4-0 No Edge
LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.
Notre Dame ATS RECORD Penn State ATS RECORD ATS EDGE
All Games 9-3-0 All Games 8-3-0 No Edge
Road + Neutral Field 30-20-00 Home Games 4-2-0 No Edge
When Favored 8-3-0 When Underdog 0-2-0 No Edge
Non-Conference Opp 9-3-0 Non-Conference Opp 2-0-0 Penn State
Opp .500+ Record 4-1-0 Opp .500+ Record 6-2-0 No Edge
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
Notre Dame O-U-P RECORD Penn State O-U-P RECORD O-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P) 13-2-0 All Totals (O-U-P) 13-3-0 OVER
On Road 6-1-0 At Home 7-2-0 OVER
All Totals Last Season 9-3-0 All Totals Last Season 7-4-0 OVER
On Road Last Season 4-1-0 At Home Last Season 4-2-0 OVER
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