• 2018 NCAA Tournament: Sweet 16 Picks

    Written by AccuScore Staff
    Follow @AccuScore on Twitter

    2018 NCAA Tournament: Sweet 16

    After starting with 68 teams, the field is down to only 16 teams, and this year's madness has been a bit crazier than most. UMBC takes the cake at the cover story of the year, but this year's Sweet 16, perhaps, isn't as crazy as we all thought. After all, Duke, Syracuse, Michigan, Kentucky, Gonzaga, Villanova, Purdue and Kansas aren't exactly small upstart programs on the dance floor for the first time. Loyola is probably the best story of the Sweet 16, but it's probably time to pull the plug on the fairytale.

    With Thursday and Friday set to cut the field down to eight teams, and the Elite 8 cut to the Final Four by the end of the weekend, AccuScore simulated the remaining bracket 10,000 times, and Villanova comes out on top. But before we get there, let's go region-by-region and work from the Sweet 16 to the Final Four.

    Sweet 16: South Region Predictions

    Thursday's college basketball action tips off with the South Region with no. 7 Nevada and no. 11 Loyola of Chicago tipping off the Sweet 16. This matchup is actually AccuScore's free forecast, and Nevada is 65% to win this game, which is significantly over the 55% Las Vegas currently has the Wolf Pack. There's significant side value on picking Nevada on the moneyline and also a 61% chance they cover the Nevada -1 spread...

    click on the image below for free forecast

    Sweet 16 college basketball picks

    On the other side, AccuScore projects Kentucky to finally end Kansas State's run and the no. 5 Wildcats to go on to face the no. 7 Wolfpack in the Elite 8. Coach John Calipari has history on his side, so the computer likes Kentucky to advance to the Final Four as a no. 5 seed. Here's a full breakdown of the South Region:

    Sweet 16 - South Region Picks

    All of AccuScore's College Basketball Picks
    Note: AccuScore's Side Value Picks for the tournament are +2401 profit

    Sweet 16: West Region Predictions

    Along with the South, the West Region also plays on Thursday and Saturday to decide its corner of the bracket. Gonzaga is a HEAVY 70% favorite over Florida State on Thursday, while the AccuScore computer likes Michigan to put down Texas A&M. With the no. 3 Michigan Wolverines facing the no. 4 Gonzaga Bulldogs in the Elite 8, AccuScore likes another upset with the Bulldogs advancing to the Final Four.

    Sweet 16 - West Region Picks

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    Sweet 16: Midwest Region Predictions

    Duke vs Syracuse is a classic matchup, but AccuScore doesn't think the Orange stand much of a chance against the Blue Devils. Of all the Sweet 16 matchups, this game appears to be the most lopsided according to the computer. Duke is a no. 2 seed and Syracuse is a no. 11 seed that barely made the tournament. Add in that the Blue Devils beat the Orange by 16 points this season, and this game could get ugly.

    Sweet 16 - Midwest Region Picks

    On the other side of the Midwest region, Kansas takes on Clemson, with the no. 1 seeded Jayhawks expected to put down the no. 5 seeded Tigers with a 61% chance. In the Elite 8, Duke is projected to pull the upset in a close game and add another Final Four appearance for Coach K.

    Sweet 16: East Region Predictions

    Like the Midwest Region, the East Region also has its no. 1 and no. 2 seeded teams alive. No. 1 Villanova is 70% to get past no. 5 West Virginia, while no. 2 Purdue is 61% to advance past no. 3 Texas Tech. As far as regions go, the East has been as clean as they come, so seeing no. 1 Villanova and no.2 Purdue face off in the Elite 8 shouldn't be a shock. AccuScore projects a close game with Nova edging Purdue 54% to 46% to advance as the only no. 1 seed into the Final Four.

    Sweet 16 - East Region Picks

    NCAA Tournament 2018 - Final Four

    According to AccuScore, Kentucky vs Gonzaga is a coin-flip game, with the Wildcats edging out the Bullsdogs by the slightest of margins, 51% to 49%. Meanwhile, Villanova is considered a favorite over Duke with a more notable 54%-46% edge, but that's hardly a heavy favorite. Upon reaching the final, Villanova actually enjoys more of an edge with a 60% to 40% edge over Kentucky.

    2018 Final Four Predictions

    In terms of raw percentages, Villanova enters the Sweet 16 with a 16.1% chance to win it all, while Duke is close behind at 15.9%. Gonzaga is 11.9% to go all the way, while Kentucky is 9.2% to complete the magical run. On the opposite end of that spectrum, Syracuse is the longest shot to win it all with only a 0.2% chance. Kansas State isn't far behind at 0.3% chance to win it all, while Loyola of Chicago is 2.05% to do the unthinkable.

    AccuScore's Sweet 16 Game Picks: Spreads, Totals & Side Value

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  • Kentucky vs. UCLA: Sweet 16 Pick

    Written by Rohit Ghosh

    Follow @rohitghosh on Twitter

    Kentucky vs UCLA: Sweet 16 Picks

    2017 NCAA Tournament - Kentucky vs UCLA
    Top Trend: All Totals Picks entering Sweet 16 - 33-15, 69% + 1650

    If there's one thing we're sure to get in Friday's marquee UCLA-Kentucky matchup, it's offense and plenty of it. Both teams will get up and down the floor, with UCLA and Kentucky rankings as the No. 1 and No. 8 best scoring offenses in the nation, respectively. On the other side, neither are even in the top-100 in scoring defense.

    At the time of publication, the line's moving back-and-forth between a pick 'em and the Bruins as a one-point favorite. The Bruins are getting the majority of the public bets, hovering around 65 percent. Also, bettors are saying this game will stay UNDER the posted total line of 168, with 52 percent of the public taking the UNDER.

    Betting Trends

    • Kentucky is on a 13-game winning streak but has covered just 5 spreads in that span.
    • UCLA is 12-1 overall in its 13 games, but has covered just 5 spreads in that span.
    • Kentucky is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games against the Pac-12.
    • The total has gone OVER in 6 of UCLA’s last 8 Friday games These two sides met earlier in the season when the Bruins ended the Wildcats' 42-game home winning streak with a 97-92 performance that saw UCLA guard Lonzo Ball finish with 14 points and seven assists. Big man TJ Leaf chipped in with 17 points and 13 rebounds as UCLA shot 53 percent from the field.

    AccuScore has a four-star picks against the spread and sees SIGNIFICANT value on the moneyline odds in this game. See AccuScore’s Picks for UCLA vs Kentucky

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    Final Word

    The fact of the matter is that UK won't miss another nine free throws like it did last time around. Calipari will have his team ready to stay within a possession, at the worst, in what's largely a revenge game.

    Either way, there's very little chance the total score doesn't get pushed up. The safest bet might be the OVER.