• NFL Thursday: Ravens vs Dolphins Analyst Pick

    Written by Rohit Ghosh
    Follow @rohitghosh on Twitter

    Ravens vs Dolphins: TNF Analyst Pick

    This week's episode of Thursday Night Football features a pair of teams looking to get a win and get back in the playoff hunt. The Baltimore Ravens host the Miami Dolphins having won seven of the last eight meetings between the two sides.

    Vegas Odds

    The total has stayed consistent at 48.5 since the line opened, but the spread has dropped from -6 to -4.5 for Philly.

    Betting Line: Baltimore Ravens -3
    Total: 37

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    Betting Trends

    • The Dolphins are 1-6 straight up (SU) in their last seven games against the Ravens.
    • The Dolphins are 0-7 against the spread (ATS) in their last seven games against the Ravens.
    • The Dolphins are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 games at night.
    • The total has gone OVER in four of the Ravens' last five games

    What to Watch For

    For the Dolphins, their best chance at staying competitive in this matchup is with their defense. They're giving up just 82 yards per game on the ground, good for No. 6 in the league. The Baltimore offensive line is banged up and we should see the Miami pressuring the QB early and often.

    The Dolphins' defense average 1.3 forced turnovers per simulated matchup, with a much higher chance of an INT than a forced fumble.

    Matt Moore threw a pair of TDs in the Dolphins' 31-28 win over New York last week. Moore was above-average last season when stepping in for QB Ryan Tannehill, finishing with a TD:INT ratio of 8:3 in three games.

    Moore is projected to finish Thursday night's matchup with 246 passing yards, 2 TDs and 1 INT.

    Analyst's Pick
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