College Football Analyst Pick: Washington State vs CAL

Written by Rohit Ghosh
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NCAA Friday - Washington State vs Cal

Friday night lights feature some Pac-12 action this week as the Cal Golden Bears host No. 8 Washington State at Memorial Stadium in Berkeley, CA. Heading into this matchup, WAZZU is 6-0 straight up (SU) and does have a 4-0 against the spread (ATS) record of late. Cal, on the other hand, has dropped the last two ATS and three straight overall.

Date: Friday, 10/13 at 7:30 PM Pacific

Vegas Odds

Spread: Washington State -15
Total: 54

Most Thursday night games don't have a lot of movement from the opening lines, and this matchup sticks to that trend. Cal opened as a 14.5-point home 'dog, and they're currently at +15 at the time of publication The total has moved up 1 point from 53 to 54.

Everything about this game points to a trap for the public. Washington St. has a whole lot of public interest following their recent victory over USC. On the other hand, Cal is coming off some conference losses. The public should be all over WAZZU, considering the lack of offense from this Cal roster.

Betting on the Total

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington State's last 5 games on the road.

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What to Watch For

Through six games this seas, WAZZU's defense has been well above average, holding the opposition to 275 total yards per game. That's just barely 4.5 yards per play.

More importantly, they're fifth in the nation in forced turnovers with 15 on the season.

WAZZU is projected to force close to 2 TOs Friday night, with nearly three times the probability of a Cal INT than a fumble.

Analyst's Pick

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College Football National Championship: Alabama vs Georgia Picks

Written by Rohit Ghosh
Follow @rohitghosh on Twitter

College Football National Championship: Alabama vs Georgia

We've got an SEC showdown in the College Football National Championship Game as Alabama and Georgia get set to kick off Monday night at in Atlanta, Georgia. The two sides come in with similar regular season records, but very different against the spread (ATS) records as 'Bama went just 6-7 ATS while Georgia finished 10-4.

Let's take a closer look at this matchup.

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Vegas Odds
Alabama opened as 4.5-point favorites before settling in about a point lower in most books. The total saw a bit more movement, dropping 2 points since opening at 47.

Betting Line: Alabama -3.5
Total: 45

At the time of publication, 53 percent of the public were laying the points and picking Alabama.

About 53 percent of the public action has been on the OVER.

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Our computer has simulated Alabama vs Georgia 10,000 times based on trends, team and player statistics: College Football National Championship Picks

Betting Trends
• Georgia is 5-12 straight up (SU) in its last 17 games as an underdog
• Georgia is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Alabama
• Georgia is 4-0 ATS in its last four bowl games

What to Watch For

Which 'Bama Defense Shows Up?: Alabama has given up at least 150 yards rushing in three of its last five games. At the same time, we're still talking about one of the best rush defenses in the country. They head into the matchup allowing no more than 3.6 rushing yards per game.

Both Georgia RBs Nick Chubb and Sony Michel are projected to have some big games on the ground, with Chubb averaging 90 yards on 16 carries and Michel with 70 on 12. Both average 0.4 TDs per sim, which indicates -- at least in our sims -- red zone issues for Georgia.

QB Play: Alabama's Jalen Hurts heads into the final game of the season having thrown just one INT. He's reliable and can manage the game remarkably well. On the other side, we've got Jake Fromm, who's top-five in the nation in pass efficiency. Georgia is undefeated this season when he has more than 15 completions.

Hurts is projected to finish with 152 passing yards, 1 TD and 1 INT. Fromm is projected to finish with 187 passing yards -- averaging 14 completions per sim.

Analyst's Pick
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Analyst Pick:: 'Bama covers.

Alabama is 24-1 SU in its last 25 games vs SEC opponents.