Chic-Fil-A Peach Bowl: Auburn vs UCF Analyst Pick

Written by Rohit Ghosh
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UCF vs Alabama: Chic-Fil-A Peach Bowl - Analyst Preview, Odds Analysis & Picks

The Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl features UCF and Auburn in a matchup that's projected to be one of the more high-scoring contests on new year's day. One side -- UCF -- is looking to put a stamp on a strong, out-of-nowhere regular season campaign; the other -- Auburn -- will have to settle playing in Atlanta while Alabama, the team they beat the week prior, gets set for the playoffs.

Let's take a closer look at this matchup.

Vegas Odds
Auburn opened as 9.5-point favorites before settling in a half-point higher. The total has seen some more movement, though, since it opened at 65 initially.

Betting Line: Auburn -10

Total: 67.5

At the time of publication, 53 percent of the public were laying the points and picking Auburn.

62 percent of the public action has been on the OVER.

All of AccuScore's College Football Bowl picks
Our computer has simulated every Bowl game 10,000 times based on trends, team and player statistics: College Football Bowl Picks

Betting Trends
• The total has gone OVER in four of UCF's last five games.
• UCF is 4-1 against the spread (ATS) in its last five games as underdog.

What to Watch For

UCF Offense : UCF QB McKenzie Milton has thrown 13 TDs and 4 INTs in the past three games. He finished the regular season completing 69.2 percent of his passes with 35 touchdowns and nine interceptions, along with close to another 500 yards on the ground. His favorite target all season has been Tre’Quan Smith, who's averaging 20 yards per reception. He's eclipsed the 120-yard mark in three of the last five games.

Milton is projected to finish with 280 yards, 2 TDs and 1 INT, along with 54 rushing yards on three-to-four carries.

Smith is projected to finish with 54 yards on four receptions, averaging about 14.5 yards per reception in sims.

Auburn Defense: The Tigers only allowed 4.6 yards per play this season. Auburn actually held teams to 1.2 yards per carry fewer than their other performances; they also held opposing QBs to just a 55 percent completion rate.

The Auburn defense is projected to force at least one takeaway, with there being nearly five times the chance of an INT than a recovered fumble.

Analyst's Pick
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College Football Analyst Pick: Oklahoma State at Texas

Written by Rohit Ghosh
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10. OK State at Texas: Analyst Pick & Preview

If last year's matchup between these two sides was any indication, we should expect another high-scoring performance when Oklahoma State and Texas match up this Saturday in Austin, TX. With so many teams in the Big 12 currently holding a 2-1 conference record currently, this matchup could have a big impact in how the conference ultimately plays out.

The Sooners are 5-2 straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) in their last seven matchups with the Longhorns.

Date: Saturday, October 21st
Time: 9:00 AM PST

Vegas Odds
Spread: Oklahoma State -7
Total: 64.5

There's been practically no movement on the spread or total since the lines opened. Oklahoma State's -7 spread has held, and the total dropped a half-point in some books from 65 to 64.5.

Betting Trends
-The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oklahoma State's last 6 games.
-OK State is 4-1 ATS in its last five games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
-OK State is also 4-1 ATS in its last five games after racking up more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
-OK State is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 road games.
-Texas is 1-4-1 ATS in its last six games on field turf.

AccuScore has picks for every major Division 1-A game:Saturday's College Football Picks

What to Watch For
Texas freshman QB Sam Ehlinger has been quite the dual threat this season -- showing a ton of potential in the Longhorns' big comeback against Texas. They weren't able to get the win, but Ehlinger throwing for 278 yards (1 TD) and running for 106 more yards showed just what kind of a weapon he can be.

Ehlinger is projected to finish Saturday's game with 227 passing yards, 29 rushing yards, 1 TD, and 1 INT.

Oklahoma State QB Mason Rudolph is leading the way for an offense averaging close to 49 points per game. He's connecting on two-thirds of his passes, and has thrown just four INTs compared to 19 TDs.

Rudolph is projected to finish Saturday's matchup with 322 passing yards, 3 TDs and 1 INT.

Rudolph has been ridiculously efficient throwing to WR James Washington, who's averaging just a shade under 26 yards per catch.

Washington is projected to finish with an average of 17 yards per catch on Saturday.

Analyst's Pick

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Free College Football Analyst Pick: Army vs Navy

Written by Rohit Ghosh
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Army vs Navy: College Football Free Analyst Pick

Can Army win this matchup two seasons in a row? After not winning a matchup against Navy in 14 years, Army finally notched a win last year. They head into this weekend's matchup as slight underdogs, understandable when you realize Navy has won 17-of-20 matchups since 1996.

Vegas Odds
The spread has held constant since opening, but the total dropped about five points since opening at 51.5.

Betting Line: Navy -3
Total: 46

At the time of publication, close to 55 percent of the public were laying the points and taking Navy.

54-plus percent of the action on the total has been on the UNDER.

AccuScore has picks for every major Division 1-A game:Saturday's College Football Picks*
*includes full free forecast of Army vs Navy

Betting Trends
- Army is 3-0 against the spread (ATS) in its last 3 games vs Navy.
- The OVER is 5-1 in Army's last six games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.

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What to Watch For

Dominating the Ground Game: Navy is really, really good at running the ball -- especially at home. They're No. 1 in the country in rushing offense at home, going against a defense that ranks No. 76 in run defense on the road. On average, Army gives up 184.2 yards per game on the ground on the road.

Zach Abey is projected to lead the way for Navy with close to 110 yards on 20 carries. He averages 1-plus TDs per sim, so expect to see him in the end zone. Malcolm Perry is projected to finish with a productive 85 yards on 9-to-10 carries, averaging 1 TD per sim.

Black Knights Defense: Army is only giving up 21 points per game this season -- one of the more consistent defenses in the country. They did give up 52 to Texas, but that seems to be an outlier looking at the season as a whole.

Navy is projected to put up 28 points this weekend.

FREE Analyst's Pick
The OVER.

The OVER is 5-2 in Army's last seven games.