• Midwest Region: NCAA Tournament Bracketology 2017

    Written by Rohit Ghosh

    Follow @rohitghosh on Twitter

    2017 NCAA Tournament Bracketology: Midwest Region

    The Midwest Region -- filled with uptempo offenses and prolific backcourts -- features guards like Frank Mason III, Jawun Evans, Monte Morris, Derrick Walton, and Tyler Dorsey, to name a few.

    While many pundits initially picked Kansas to have a deep run, certain matchups in this region suggest the road won't be so easy.

    2017 NCAA Tournament - Midwest Region
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    The No. 1 Seed

    Kansas had a disappointing loss to TCU in the Big 12 tourney, but they're just what their record (28-4) says they are -- really good. They finished the regular season with an 8-2 record against the RPI top 50 and enters the Big Dance for the second straight year as the top seed.

    How far should you have them in your bracket?

    Michigan State may not have the consistency fans are looking for, but have the coaching and talent to make another deep run. AccuScore sim data has Kansas' journey ending in the round of 32 against the Spartans. Bold.

    AccuScore has Moneyline, Against the Spread & Totals picks for every NCAA tournament game, including the play-in games: AccuScore’s College Basketball Expert Picks

    Double-digit Seed to Watch

    Keep an eye on No. 11 Rhode Island, a top-25 team at one point this season. AccuScore sim data absolutely loves Creighton to go far, but don't expect that first-round matchup against the Atlantic 10 champs to be a cakewalk. Rhode Island does have wins over Cincinnati and VCU.

    Chalk

    The Midwest region -- in terms of AccuScore sim data -- looks to be the most susceptible to lower seeds making it to the Sweet 16 and on.

    With the Spartans knocking off the Jayhawks in the second round, the field opens up for a team like No. 4 Purdue to knock on the door of the Final Four.

    No. 2 Louisville would also benefit from the early Kansas loss, but the sims suggest Creighton's recent play will be too much for even the defensive-minded Cardinals.

    AccuScore sim data has Purdue and Creighton matching up for a spot in the Final Four. Purdue last reached the Final Four in 1980.

    Final Word

    Numbers don't like and AccuScore's history in tournament-style events is proven. With Purdue getting that kind of value, it's tough to shy away from a wager.

    At the time of publication, Kansas is the favorite in this region, getting +200 odds. Louisville (+350), Oregon (+450) and Purdue (+600).

    AccuScore’s Bracketology Previews
    South Region
    West Region

  • NCAA Tournament Bracketology 2018 - Midwest Region

    Written by AccuScore Staff
    Follow @AccuScore on Twitter

    2018 NCAA Tournament Bracketology: Midwest Region

    Kansas is a team AccuScore simply doesn't trust as a no. 1 seed. As far as no. 1 vs no. 16 matchups go, Pennsylvania managing a 19% probability of pulling the upset is abnormally high. NC State poses its own problems and looks like it'll be a closer game than the Jayhawks would like at that point. Then, in the Sweet 16, AccuScore is picking Auburn to upset Kansas and reach the Elite 8. In the bottom half of the bracket, Duke and Michigan State look to comfortably reach the Elite 8 with Michigan State winning 53% to 47% in simulations. So, the Michigan State Spartans will face the Auburn Tigers to cut down nets and reach the Final Four. While the Michigan State vs Duke matchup is close, the computer is siding with Michigan State to advance with a 58%-42% edge.

    Simulate your own bracket by clicking on the image below
    NCAA Tournament Bracketology 2018 - Midwest

    AccuScore has expert picks against the spread and totals for every single tournament game: College Basketball Picks

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    In terms of raw probabilities, Michigan State is 26.83% to reach the Final Four, which is actually lower than Duke's 28.01% to reach the Final Four, which means Duke has a slightly easier path before it runs into the Spartans in the Elite 8. However, the Spartans are 8.57% to win the National Championship, which is slightly better than 8.12% for Duke, pointing to Michigan State being the better side when elite competition comes knocking.

    Be sure to check out all of AccuScore's Region-by-Region Bracketology Previews:
    South Region
    West Region
    East Region

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