2017 Foster Farms Bowl: Arizona vs Purdue Analyst Pick

Written by Rohit Ghosh
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Foster Farms Bowl: Arizona vs Purdue

It may not be one of the more talked-about bowl games, but Wednesday's matchup between Arizona and Purdue at Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara, CA just might end up being one of the most exciting games of the season. Fans should be treated to some high octane offenses as all eyes will be on Arizona QB Khalil Tate and a team led by offensive genius Jeff Brohm.

Let's take a closer look at this matchup and how to bet the game.

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Vegas Odds
Arizona opened as a 3.5-point favorite before settling in a half-point lower in most books. The total dropped just a point since opening at 66.5.

Betting Line: Arizona -3
Total: 65.5

At the time of publication, 52 percent of the public were taking the points and picking Purdue.

62 percent of the action on the total has been on the OVER.

Betting Trends
• Purdue is just 1-5 against the spread (ATS) in its last six bowl games.
• The total has gone OVER in four of Arizona's last six games.

What to Watch For
Arizona's QB is a Beast: Despite missing close to four weeks at the beginning of the season, Tate still finished the regular season having thrown for 1,289 passing yards, rushed for 1,353 yards and scored 21 total touchdowns. He does have the tendency to turn the ball over, but that doesn't seem to be an issue in our sims for this bowl matchup.

Tate is projected to finish with 233 passing yards, 2 passing TDs, and 1 INT. The Purdue defense is projected to force 1 takeaway, but average zero QB sacks.

Purdue's Turnaround: A big reason the team went from a 3-6 finish in 2016 to making a bowl game in 2017 was how the defense played this year. The Boilermakers defense ranks 28th nationally in S&P+, and its run defense stands is remarkable at No. 6 in the country. They'll have their hands full against Tate.

Tate is projected to finish with 113 rushing yards and 1 TD on the ground.

Analyst's Pick
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College Football Friday: Washington vs Stanford - Analyst Pick

Written by Rohit Ghosh
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Washington vs Stanford: Analyst Pick

Washington will look to keep pace with Washington State in the national rankings as they head to Stanford for a matchup with the Cardinal. The college football playoffs are still within reach and the Huskies are on the hunt. Stanford's a 6-point home underdog with the total set at 45.

Vegas Odds

Both the spread and total have seen plenty of movement over the past few days. Washington opened up as 8.5-point favorites before settling down to -6. The total dropped to 45 after opening at 50.

Betting Line: Washington -6
Total: 45

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At the time of publication, about 59 percent of the public was laying the points and taking the Huskies. 64 percent of the wagers on the total have been on the OVER.

Betting Trends
- Washington is 5-1 against the spread (ATS) in its last 6 games.
- Washington is 8-1 straight up (SU) in its last 9 games.
- WWashington is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games vs Stanford.

What to Watch For

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Huskies QB Jake Browning is having another strong season, despite the multiple injuries to his weapons downfield. He's completing about 68 percent of his throws and has a 16:5 TD-to-INT ratio. Under his leadership, Washington averages 6.4 yards per play this season.

Browning is projected to finish with 187 passing yards, 2 TDs and 1 INT.

Washington's defense has been its calling card all year. The Huskies are giving up just 11.1 points per game, allowing just 3.7 yards per play. They haven't allowed more than 23 points in a game all season, and gave up 13 in their sole loss this season.

The defense is projected to force 1 turnover Friday night. Stanford is projected to score 22-to-23 points.

Analyst's Pick

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Friday College Football Analyst Pick: Boise State vs BYU

Written by Rohit Ghosh
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NCAA Friday: Boise State vs BYU

Boise State heads to Provo for a matchup with BYU Friday night. Boise St. came out on top 28-27 in last year's meeting betwee the two sides. The visiting Broncos are 8-point favorites with the total set at 47.

Vegas Odds

The line opened with Boise St. as 7-point favorites, so there hasn't been much movement on that line. The total, however, has seen a bit of a shift since opening at just 44.

Much of the public money is expected to come in on Boise St., considering the home side is 0-5 against the spread (ATS).

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What to Watch For

The ground game for BYU has been practically non-existent this year. Part of that comes down to going down early in games and not being able to run the ball consistently, but only two rushing TDs through five weeks of play is not going to get it done.

The top three backs for BYU -- Ula Tolutau, Kavika Fonua, Micah Simon -- are projected to finish with a combined 96 yards on about 22 carries.

Boise State's defense has been above-average this year, but it's been their run defense that's made more of an impact. Washington State -- the only other road opponent Boise St. has had this year so far -- put up under 5 yards per play.

The Broncos average about two forced turnovers per simulated matchup.

Analyst's Pick

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Ohio State vs Michigan: Analyst Pick

Written by Rohit Ghosh
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Ohio State vs Michigan: Analyst Pick & Preview

As was expected, this Saturday's Ohio State-Michigan matchup got plenty of action this week with the majority of discussion focusing on what chances the Buckeyes have at a playoff berth. The Wolverines, on the other hand, have no shot at the championship, but will relish any opportunity to spoil a rival's season.

Vegas Odds
The game actually opened as a pick 'em before the Vikings settled in as 3-point favorites. The total hasn't seen much movement since opening at 45.5.

Betting Line: Ohio State -12
Total: 50

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At the time of publication, about 78 percent of the public were laying the points on the road and taking Ohio State.

61 percent of the wagers on the total have been on the OVER.

Betting Trends
-The total has gone OVER in seven of Ohio State's last eight games.
-The total has gone OVER in four of Ohio State's last five games on the road.
-The total has gone OVER in six of Ohio State's last eight games on the road vs Michigan.

What to Watch For
Michigan has had QB issues all season. Brandon Peters is projected to be the starter heading into this Saturday's matchup, currently leading the team in completion percentage (57.8). He has 4 TDs to zero INTs on the season, and will more than likely look for the run game to carry much of the load. The Wolverines have averaged about 4.6 yards per carry.

Peters is projected to finish with 183 passing yards, 1 TD and 1 INT. He averages about the same number of TDs per sim (1.0) as he does INTs (0.9).

The three main Michigan backs average about 5.03 yards per carry in sims.

Ohio State is clearly the better team -- averaging 546 total yards and 45 points per game heading into this matchup. JT Barrett led the way last week over Illinois, finishing with 141 passing yards and 2 TDs in the 52-14 win at home. Barrett owns a 32-to-7 TD:INT ratio, completing about 66.9 percent of his passes. He’s also the team’s second-leading rusher with 605 yards on 115 carries.

Barrett is projected to finish with 183 passing yards, 2 TDs and 1 INT. He's projected to also add 48 rushing yards on 10 carries, averaging 0.5 rushing TDs per sim (compared to his 1.7 passing TDs per sim).

Analyst's Pick

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Analyst Pick: The OVER.

The OVER is 6-2 in Michigan's last eight games as an underdog. Also, the OVER is 6-2 in the last eight meetings between these two sides in Michigan.

Troy at Arkansas State: College Football Preview & Analyst Pick

Written by Rohit Ghosh
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Troy at Arkansas State: College Football Saturday Pick

There's plenty of NCAA Football action this Saturday and we've got a play that's going against Vegas odds. Arkansas State hosts the Trojans of Troy Saturday in probably what's the most evenly-matched pairing of the day.

Vegas Odds

Arkansas opened as 1-point favorites before the game settled as a pick 'em in most books; some books, however actually had the line move to the other side with Troy as a half-point to 1-point favorite.

The total opened at 58.5 before settling a bit higher at 59.5/60.

Betting Line: Pick 'Em
Total: 60

At the time of publication, public action on the spread was evenly split 50-50.

76 percent of the action on the total has been on the OVER.

AccuScore has picks for every major Division 1-A game:Saturday's College Football Picks

Betting Trends
- Troy is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games.
- Troy is 12-5 ATS in its last 17 games on the road.
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Troy's last 6 games when playing Arkansas State

What to Watch For

Arkansas State's 14th-ranked offense is led by Justice Hansen's 32 TD passes -- an offense that does a remarkable job of spreading the ball around. They've got depth and experience in their receivers, but it just might be TE Blake Mack who shines the brightest. He has caught 40 passes to go along with 7 TDs this season.

Hansen is projected to finish with 257 passing yards, 2 TDs and 1 INT.

Mack averages 0.3 TDs per sim, to go along with 38 yards on 3 receptions.

Troy has run for 1,758 yards as a unit this season, putting them 84th in the nation. They average about 5.1 yards per unit.

Jordan Chunn is projected to lead the way on the ground for Troy on Saturday. He averages 110 yards and 1+ TDs per sim.

Analyst's Pick

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USC vs Arizona: College Football Analyst Pick

Written by Rohit Ghosh
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USC at Arizona: Odds, Preview & Analyst Pick

ESPN features an intriguing Pac-12 matchup Saturday night in Los Angeles as the USC Trojans host the Arizona Wildcats. Arizona heads into the matchup with plenty of momentum, winning four in a row including a victory -- in which they put up 58 points -- last week over a ranked Washington State

Vegas Odds
The spread dropped a point since opening at -8, but it's the total that's seen some heavy action. The total shot up about 4-to-4.5 points since opening at 72.

Betting Line: USC -7
Total: 76.5

Betting Trends
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 6 games.
USC is 5-0 straight up (SU) in its last 5 games at home.
USC is 4-1 against the spread (ATS) in its last 5 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
USC is 4-1 ATS in its last five games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.

All Expert Picks for Saturday's big and small College Football games: AccuScore's College Football Picks

What to Watch For
-USC is coming off a 48-17 win over Arizona State -- a game in which they finished with 607 total yards. Sam Darnold finished with 266 passing yards, 3 TDs and 0 INTs.

-Darnold is projected to finish with 336 yards and 3 TDs. He averages 0.7 INTs per sim.

-Darnold's favorite target last week was WR Tyler Vaughns who finished with 126 receiving yards and two TDs.

-Vaughns is projected to finish with 69 yards on 5 receptions. He averages 0.6 TDs per sim.

Analyst's Pick

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USC vs UCLA: Odds, Preview, Pick

Written by Rohit Ghosh
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USC vs UCLA: Rivalry Week Analyst Pick

It's rivalry week and we've got a fun Pac-12 matchup in LA featuring two of the best QBs in the nation as USC hosts UCLA at the LA Memorial Coliseum. The Trojans dominated last year's matchup 36-14 as they dominated the time of possession (43:47).

Vegas Odds
There has been very little movement on the spread or total since they opened earlier this week. The Trojans opened at 15-point favorites before settling in a half-point higher.

Betting Line: USC -15.5
Total: 71.5

At the time of publication, about 61 percent of the public was laying the points at home and taking USC. 73 percent of the wagers on the total have been on the OVER.

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Betting Trends

• The total has gone OVER in seven of UCLA's last 10 games.
• The total has gone OVER in four of USC's last five games.
• USC is 2-4 against the spread (ATS) in its last six games at home.

What to Watch For
Since putting up just 14 points against Notre Dame, the USC offense has gotten back on track averaging 45 points and 590 yards of offense over their last three matchups. The Trojans' offense goes as QB Sam Darnold does and he'll look to make a statement against a rival who features a QB that just might be picked ahead of himself in next year's NFL Draft.

Darnold is projected to finish with 320 yards, 3 TDs and 1 INT.

UCLA heads into this matchup coming off a 44-37 win over Arizona State. Although their defense giving up 37 points is somewhat concerning, the offense was firing on all cylinders with QB Josh Rosen. He has been great at home this year, but on-and-off on the road. This is in LA, but still a road game. He enters this matchup with 8 TDs and 7 INTs on the road this year (four games).

Rosen is projected to finish with 308 yards, 2 TDs and 1 INT.

Analyst's Pick

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