• 2020 NFL Playoffs Picks: Ravens and Saints in the Super Bowl

    Written by AccuScore Staff
    Follow @AccuScore on Twitter

    2020 NFL Playoffs Preview - Saints vs Ravens Tipped for Super Bowl

    The 2020 NFL playoffs are finally upon us, and AccuScore's super computer simulated out the postseason 10,000 times to arrive at probabilities for every team to win the Super Bowl and also every matchup. Before we get too deep into the weeds of how the bracket breaks down, let's take a look at Super Bowl odds for every team: AccuScore and Vegas.

    Super Bowl Odds

    As you can see, the Baltimore Ravens are the top choice to win it all, according to both AccuScore and Vegas. The San Francisco 49ers and Kansas City Chiefs are both rated a bit higher by Vegas than AccuScore. The best value is on Seattle when comparing to Vegas odds, but the Seahawks are real long shots at 4.5% to win it all, according to AccuScore, and 2.5% to win it all. according to Vegas odds. All in all, Vegas' Super Bowl odds don't offer much value.

    AccuScore's 2020 NFL Playoffs Bracket

    Ok, no more waiting. Here it is:

    2020 NFL Predictions

    There is only one projected upset in the Wildcard round, and it is the Seattle Seahawks over the Philadelphia Eagles, which makes sense considering the Seahawks finished two wins better than the Eagles in a measurably tougher division. The Patriots, Saints and Texans are all predicted to comfortably take care of business. The Bills have the best shot of pulling the upset out of those three games.

    AFC Playoffs

    In the divisional round, the Patriots losing to the Dolphins in the final game of the season comes back to haunt Tom Brady and company. A trip to Arrowhead in January in the divisional round should see the Patriots eliminated from the postseason, with rumors that this could be the end of Brady in Boston.

    The Super Bowl favorite Ravens expect to waltz past the Texans and into an AFC title game at home against the Chiefs. With Lamar Jackson leading the way, at home, the Ravens have a 60-40 edge, according to AccuScore. This seems like it's Baltimore's year. It's seemed that way for a while now, and AccuScore likes the Ravens.

    AccuScore's NFL picks
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    NFC Playoffs

    After taking care of the Vikings at home, the Saints have the unenviable task of facing to Green Bay. Aaron Rodgers and the Packers have managed to get a bye and put themselves in position to take down the Saints, but AccuScore likes New Orleans. A lot. The Saints, even on the road, take the Packers down and advance to the NFC title game for the second year in a row.

    On the opposite side of the bracket, the San Francisco 49ers beat the Seahawks in a divisional round matchup--emphasis on division. This will be the third meeting between the two teams this season, and the first two meetings had a net difference of two points and involved one overtime game. The rested 49ers at home get the decided edge in AccuScore's eyes.

    And thus, we get a rematch of what most consider the game of the season: 49ers vs. Saints. This time, San Francisco would host, but AccuScore likes the Saints to get past the 49ers in a close game, giving New Orleans a 53% edge. Of course, one bad call could change all that, but let's hope it doesn't come down to that for New Orleans' sake.

    Super Bowl: Ravens Vs. Saints

    The Baltimore Ravens with Lamar Jackson, the quarterback of the present and the future, facing the New Orleans Saints with Drew Brees, who will be 41 by the time the Super Bowl is played, will be a matchup for the ages, pun intended. The Saints showed that they are more than Brees this season, but the Ravens with Lamar Jackson have been the toughest nut to crack in the NFL. If Baltimore makes it to the Super Bowl, the Ravens will be riding a 14-game winning streak. Understandably, AccuScore likes the Ravens with a healthy 59% edge, making them clear favorites.

    Special: AccuScore has expert picks--spread, totals, side value and moneyline--on every game this NFL postseason. Use code NFLplayoffs and get one month of membership for only $49. Join AccuScore today!

  • AFC North: 2017 NFL Previews

    Written by AccuScore Staff
    Follow @AccuScore on Twitter

    AccuScore continues to preview every team and division in the NFL ahead of the 2017 NFL season kickoff:

    AFC North: 2017 NFL Division Previews

    2017 AFC North Projections and Preview

    Membership Special: NFL Picks against the spread for the 2016 NFL season (including playoffs) finished 151-99-17, 60.4% +4,210 profit. Include Totals and AccuScore’s 2016 NFL picks were nearly +5,000. So, what are you waiting for? Use coupon code football30 and get 20% off a premium All-Sports membership - Join AccuScore Now!

    2016 NFL Betting Record

    Week 1 Picks are Live!...AccuScore's Week 1: NFL Picks

    Pittsburgh playoffs streak continues

    The Pittsburgh Steelers have reached the playoffs in each of the last three seasons, and they have improved year after year. Three years ago, they lost in wild card game, two years ago they lost in divisional game and year ago they lost in conference final to the eventual Super Bowl winners. So is this the year for Pittsburgh?

    Accuscore season simulations predict that Pittsburgh finish top of the AFC North again. The Steelers project to win 11 games and the probability to win division is 55%. Before the start of the season, the Steelers look like one of the safest bets to reach the postseason. Added to that, Pittsburgh starts the season in Cleveland, which should be a nice easy win to get the season going.

    Roster Moves:

    As Pittsburgh appears to be heading in the right direction the last few seasons, the front office hasn’t made too many earth shattering changes to the roster. Departures of Lawrence Timmons and Jarvis Jones from the linebackers corps are notable, but most probably will not have a massive impact on the performance of the defense. Backup running back DeAngelo Williams was also replaced by Knile Davis. Last season’s injury and declining performance led to the release of WR Markus Wheaton, but Antonio Brown, Martavis Bryant and Sammie Coates should provide enough targets for Ben Roethlisberger.

    Fantasy Analysis: Pittsburgh Steelers

    The Steelers’ defense is one of the best in the league. Accuscore’s fantasy projections list them as a Top 4 team fantasy defense. Other good picks for your fantasy team from the Steelers are Le'Veon Bell, who is projected to finish Top 3 among running backs, Antonio Brown, a top 10 wide receiver, as well as Martavis Bryant, who is projected to be 26th among all WRs. Even though QB Ben Roethlisberger is not projected to gather top10 fantasy numbers at his position, he has still everything that it takes to lead Steelers to playoffs.

    Other 2017 NFL Previews:
    NFC North Division Preview
    NFC East Division Preview
    NFC South Division Preview
    NFC West Division Preview

    AFC West Division Preview
    AFC East Division Preview

    Ravens trying to end playoffs drought

    Since winning the Super Bowl in 2012 season, the Baltimore Ravens have reached the playoffs only once and won only one game during that run in 2014.

    The Ravens are predicted to have a 9-7 record and put them on the bubble with a handful of other wildcard teams. Baltimore has a 30% chance of winning the AFC North, but include the likelihood of making the postseason is up to 50% when including the Wild Card.

    Roster Moves:

    There have been quite a lot of departures from the Ravens’ squad this summer. Both lines took a hit when Lawrence Guy (DE) and Ricky Wagner (OT) left the team. Baltimore is rebuilding via the draft and spent 3 out of 4 top draft picks on the defensive line. Also, the retirement of WR Steve Smith will have impact on the team. Despite missing the playoffs, QB Joe Flacco had a career season in 2016 when he broke 4000 passing yards for the first time. Due to injury, though, Flacco’s status for the opening game is up in the air and it could be that he is not 100% during first few weeks of the season.

    Fantasy Analysis: Baltimore Ravens

    For fantasy players, the Ravens have no one to offer in the first round. Depending on the severity of the injury, Flacco’s projected to be a top15 fantasy QB. Also, WR Jeremy Maclin can be a good late rounds addition to your team, but if Mike Wallace and Breshad Perriman take most of the snaps, he won’t be a difference maker. Once a league leading defense, the Ravens still rank Top 8 for fantasy.

    Cincinnati bounces back to a playoff contender

    Last season ended the Bengals’ five-year streak of a postseason play. Sadly, the Bengals did not collect a single postseason win during that five-year span. Still, only six wins during the 2016 regular season was a clear step backwards from past performances of this team.

    Accuscore predicts that the Bengals will bounce back to fight for the playoffs spot. Even though they do not project to be a threat to the Pittsburgh Steelers and should have a tough time topping the Baltimore Ravens, Cincinnati should start moving back in the right direction. Based on season simulations, the Bengals project to get 9 wins and around 20% probability to win AFC North. The chances of qualifying for the postseason are around 40%.

    Roster Moves:

    During the offseason, the biggest roster changes took place on the offensive line. Seasoned veterans like Kevin Zeitler and Andrew Whitworth left the team. Even if the injury bug doesn’t hit Cincinnati as it did year ago, the gaping hole in the offensive line could be difficult to fill. On the other side, the Bengals upgraded their defense with linebacker Kevin Minter from Arizona.

    Fantasy Analysis: Cincinnati Bengals

    Cincinnati is predicted to be an above average defense in AccuScore’s season long fantasy projections, but the Bengals shouldn’t be the first defense picked in the draft or close to it. A healthy AJ Green would be another notable fantasy player, but he is not predicted to be among Top 5 WRs for fantasy points in 2017. QB Andy Dalton has received a boatload of critique about his fluctuating performance, but he is still predicted to be above average starter in NFL and a serviceable second quarterback on a fantasy team.

    Cleveland struggle continues

    The Cleveland Browns won only one game in 2016 season. That wasn’t any big surprise as the last time they were not last in their division or won less than 5 games was over 10 years ago. Constant changes in head coaching and key player positions have not been the right recipe for success for Cleveland. So, will any of this change in the upcoming season?

    Accuscore’s simulations show minor improvement for the Browns, but two wins out of 16 won’t count for much in Ohio. They don’t have any reasonable chances to win division or reach playoffs as both probabilities are shown in fraction of percentage. Cleveland’s best chances to win games come against New York Jets in week 5 and a trip to Chicago in week 16.

    Roster Moves:

    The change has been constant on the Browns’ roster in recent years. Now, they are relying on rookie QB DeShone Kizer. This decision sliced around two wins from their win totals, as Kizer is going to be learning on the job. The Browns’ offensive line should be better than a year ago, as they signed JC Tretter and Kevin Zeitler to improve it. Their top WR Terrelle Pryor left the building and it will be interesting to see how Kenny Britt fills his shoes. Both WRs broke 1000 yards mark in last season without a great QB tossing them the ball, so the change doesn’t appear to be a huge step back ro a stp backwards.

    Fantasy Analysis: Cleveland Browns

    Based on his track record, Kenny Britt would be good pick for your fantasy team’s receiving corp. He will be used in many situations and be a clear no. 1 receiver on the team. RB Isaiah Crowell could also be good later rounds pickup for your draft, too. He is predicted to be a Top 15 running back in the league and is expected to break 1000 yards rushing. The Defense is ranked dead last in the league’s fantasy projections, and the new rookie QB is in similar company.

  • Ravens v Texans Free Analyst Pick: Cyber Monday NFL

    Written by Rohit Ghosh
    Follow @rohitghosh on Twitter

    Ravens vs Texans: Cyber Monday Night Football

    Week 12 in the NFL wraps up Monday night in Baltimore as the 5-5 Ravens host the 4-6 Houston Texans at M&T Bank Stadium. Both teams started the season projecting to be a playoff contender; and both are on the bubble heading into Week 12.

    Vegas Odds

    Betting Line:Baltimore Ravens -7
    Total: 38

    At the time of publication, about 56 percent of the public were laying the points at home and picking BAL.

    59 percent of the action on the total has been on the OVER.

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    Betting Trends
    -The Texans are 6-3 against the spread (ATS) in their last nine games. -The total has gone OVER in six of the Ravens' last eight games. -The Texans are 2-7 SU in their last nine games against the Ravens.

    What to Watch For
    Tom Savage has been pretty, pretty bad this season filling in as the starting QB. His 4:3 TD:INT ratio is nothing to boast about and with Lamar Miller as the feature back, he won't have much of a safety net.

    Savage is projected to finish with 245 passing yards and 1 TD. He averages about twice as many TDs per sim (1.3) as he does INTs (0.6).

    Miller is projected to finish with 55 rushing yards on 16 carries and 0 TDs. He averages just 0.3 Tds per sim.

    The Texans defense -- usually known for its prowess with a healthy roster -- is in the bottom half of the league allowing 5.7 yards per play. Sure JJ Watt being injured is a big deal, but the loss of middle linebacker Brian Cushing has been just as crucial. They've still managed to be solid against the run though, allowing just 3.7 yards per carry. Teams have only scored 3 rushing TDs on the Texans; Houston has given up the most passing TDs though.

    The Houston defense is projected to have at least one takeaway Monday night.

    Analyst's Pick
    Cyber Monday Special
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    Analyst Pick: The OVER.

    The total has gone OVER in five of the Ravens' last six games.

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