Written by Rohit Ghosh
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MLS Saturday
There's plenty of action in the MLS Saturday, with Atlanta United and Orlando City matching up for the second time in about a week. This time the match is in Bobby Dodd Stadium in Atlanta, with the home side heavily favored on the money line (-180).
Atlanta's the favorite, and righfully so.
The odds in Vegas indicate the home side has about a 64 percent chance of winning. Atlanta United wins over 54 percent of simulated matchups.
AccuScore sim data has Atlanta winning this matchup, assigning a 4-star hot trend to the Atlanta money line pick.
Atlanta defeated Orlando 1-0 just last week and it's tough to see why anything changes this time around.
All of AccuScore's MLS Picks
Value Pick
Orlando did acquire Dom Dwyer and his ability to put the ball in the back of the net goes without question. In the last three seasons, he has scored 16, 12 and 22 goals, respectively, for Kansas City. He gives Orlando more firepower, and that could indicate a better overall performance from a roster with lifted spirits.
The draw is offering +325 odds on the money line, indicating there's only about a 23.5 percent chance of happening. There is a draw in about 21 percent of simulated matchups.
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A Pick on the Total
Depending on when and where you get the total, it's going to be either 2.75 or 3. Despite the 1-0 outcome last week, the lean is still on the OVER Saturday with Atlanta more often than not scoring multiple times in home matches.
They still feature the best offense in the conference with 40 goals, 21 of those coming at home. The total goes OVER in close to 59 percent of simulations.
