Written by Rohit Ghosh
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Army vs Navy: College Football Free Analyst Pick
Can Army win this matchup two seasons in a row? After not winning a matchup against Navy in 14 years, Army finally notched a win last year. They head into this weekend's matchup as slight underdogs, understandable when you realize Navy has won 17-of-20 matchups since 1996.
Vegas Odds
The spread has held constant since opening, but the total dropped about five points since opening at 51.5.
Betting Line: Navy -3
Total: 46
At the time of publication, close to 55 percent of the public were laying the points and taking Navy.
54-plus percent of the action on the total has been on the UNDER.
AccuScore has picks for every major Division 1-A game:Saturday's College Football Picks*
*includes full free forecast of Army vs Navy
Betting Trends
- Army is 3-0 against the spread (ATS) in its last 3 games vs Navy.
- The OVER is 5-1 in Army's last six games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
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What to Watch For
Dominating the Ground Game: Navy is really, really good at running the ball -- especially at home. They're No. 1 in the country in rushing offense at home, going against a defense that ranks No. 76 in run defense on the road. On average, Army gives up 184.2 yards per game on the ground on the road.
Zach Abey is projected to lead the way for Navy with close to 110 yards on 20 carries. He averages 1-plus TDs per sim, so expect to see him in the end zone. Malcolm Perry is projected to finish with a productive 85 yards on 9-to-10 carries, averaging 1 TD per sim.
Black Knights Defense: Army is only giving up 21 points per game this season -- one of the more consistent defenses in the country. They did give up 52 to Texas, but that seems to be an outlier looking at the season as a whole.
Navy is projected to put up 28 points this weekend.
FREE Analyst's Pick
The OVER.
The OVER is 5-2 in Army's last seven games.
