Expect a close game with the Buffalo Bills winning 54.0% of simulations, and the Miami Dolphins 46.0% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Buffalo Bills commit fewer turnovers in 62.0% of simulations and they go on to win 74.0% when they take care of the ball. The Miami Dolphins wins 79.0% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. James Cook is averaging 74.0 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (27.0% chance) then he helps his team win 78%. De'Von Achane is averaging 91.0 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (26.0% chance) then he helps his team win 74%.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.
| Buffalo Bills | ATS RECORD | Miami Dolphins | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|
| All Games | 11-6-1 | All Games | 7-10-0 | Buffalo Bills |
| Road Games | 50-40-00 | Home Games | 3-5-0 | No Edge |
| When Underdog | 2-1-0 | When Favored | 3-5-0 | Buffalo Bills |
| Division Opp | 3-3-0 | Division Opp | 3-3-0 | Buffalo Bills |
| Opp Under .500 | 5-2-0 | Opp .500+ Record | 2-5-0 | Buffalo Bills |
LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.
| Buffalo Bills | ATS RECORD | Miami Dolphins | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|
| All Games | 8-10-1 | All Games | 10-8-0 | No Edge |
| Road Games | 30-40-10 | Home Games | 6-3-0 | No Edge |
| When Underdog | 1-1-1 | When Favored | 9-2-0 | No Edge |
| Division Opp | 3-3-0 | Division Opp | 4-2-0 | No Edge |
| Opp .500+ Record | 83-55-14 | Opp .500+ Record | 39-86-0 | No Edge |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Buffalo Bills | O-U-P RECORD | Miami Dolphins | O-U-P RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| All Totals (O-U-P) | 12-6-0 | All Totals (O-U-P) | 8-9-0 | OVER |
| On Road | 5-4-0 | At Home | 6-2-0 | OVER |
| All Totals Last Season | 8-11-0 | All Totals Last Season | 9-8-1 | UNDER |
| On Road Last Season | 3-5-0 | At Home Last Season | 4-4-1 | UNDER |
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